Current forecast consensus from meteorological models points to an overnight low near 22–23°C for Wuhan on September 15, driven by partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and moderate humidity that limit strong radiative cooling. Stable high-pressure conditions and minimal precipitation risk support this range, consistent with late-summer climatology where daily lows typically fall from the mid-20s into the low 20s. Model agreement on steering patterns and cloud cover keeps extremes less likely, though small shifts in overnight cloud thickness or wind could nudge temperatures by 1–2°C either way before resolution. Traders appear to price in this narrow band of uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Wuhan em 15 de setembro?
16°C ou menos 61%
26°C ou mais 61%
25°C 39%
21°C 32%
16°C ou menos
61%
17°C
17%
18°C
18%
19°C
10%
20°C
22%
21°C
32%
22°C
22%
23°C
22%
24°C
22%
25°C
39%
26°C ou mais
61%
16°C ou menos 61%
26°C ou mais 61%
25°C 39%
21°C 32%
16°C ou menos
61%
17°C
17%
18°C
18%
19°C
10%
20°C
22%
21°C
32%
22°C
22%
23°C
22%
24°C
22%
25°C
39%
26°C ou mais
61%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from meteorological models points to an overnight low near 22–23°C for Wuhan on September 15, driven by partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and moderate humidity that limit strong radiative cooling. Stable high-pressure conditions and minimal precipitation risk support this range, consistent with late-summer climatology where daily lows typically fall from the mid-20s into the low 20s. Model agreement on steering patterns and cloud cover keeps extremes less likely, though small shifts in overnight cloud thickness or wind could nudge temperatures by 1–2°C either way before resolution. Traders appear to price in this narrow band of uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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