Recent numerical weather prediction guidance from sources like ECMWF and GFS shows overnight lows in Wuhan near 22–23°C on September 6, aligning with early-September climatology of roughly 21–22°C minimums amid transitioning monsoon influences. Trader probabilities remain dispersed because short-range forecasts carry uncertainty in cloud cover, which modulates radiative cooling, and light northerly winds that can either enhance or suppress the urban heat island effect. Clearer, drier conditions would favor lower minima near or below 20°C, while increased humidity or lingering warmth could push readings toward 25°C or higher. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 48 hours represent key catalysts that could sharpen consensus ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Wuhan em 6 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Wuhan em 6 de setembro?
26°C ou mais 69%
16°C ou menos 59%
19°C 49%
23°C 49%
NOVO
NOVO
6 set 2026
16°C ou menos
59%
17°C
42%
18°C
43%
19°C
49%
20°C
26%
21°C
27%
22°C
26%
23°C
49%
24°C
49%
25°C
2%
26°C ou mais
69%
26°C ou mais 69%
16°C ou menos 59%
19°C 49%
23°C 49%
NOVO
NOVO
6 set 2026
16°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
59%
17°C
$0 Vol.
42%
18°C
$0 Vol.
43%
19°C
$0 Vol.
49%
20°C
$0 Vol.
26%
21°C
$0 Vol.
27%
22°C
$0 Vol.
26%
23°C
$0 Vol.
49%
24°C
$0 Vol.
49%
25°C
$0 Vol.
2%
26°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction guidance from sources like ECMWF and GFS shows overnight lows in Wuhan near 22–23°C on September 6, aligning with early-September climatology of roughly 21–22°C minimums amid transitioning monsoon influences. Trader probabilities remain dispersed because short-range forecasts carry uncertainty in cloud cover, which modulates radiative cooling, and light northerly winds that can either enhance or suppress the urban heat island effect. Clearer, drier conditions would favor lower minima near or below 20°C, while increased humidity or lingering warmth could push readings toward 25°C or higher. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 48 hours represent key catalysts that could sharpen consensus ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$0Data de Término
6 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction guidance from sources like ECMWF and GFS shows overnight lows in Wuhan near 22–23°C on September 6, aligning with early-September climatology of roughly 21–22°C minimums amid transitioning monsoon influences. Trader probabilities remain dispersed because short-range forecasts carry uncertainty in cloud cover, which modulates radiative cooling, and light northerly winds that can either enhance or suppress the urban heat island effect. Clearer, drier conditions would favor lower minima near or below 20°C, while increased humidity or lingering warmth could push readings toward 25°C or higher. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 48 hours represent key catalysts that could sharpen consensus ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Data de Término
6 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction guidance from sources like ECMWF and GFS shows overnight lows in Wuhan near 22–23°C on September 6, aligning with early-September climatology of roughly 21–22°C minimums amid transitioning monsoon influences. Trader probabilities remain dispersed because short-range forecasts carry uncertainty in cloud cover, which modulates radiative cooling, and light northerly winds that can either enhance or suppress the urban heat island effect. Clearer, drier conditions would favor lower minima near or below 20°C, while increased humidity or lingering warmth could push readings toward 25°C or higher. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 48 hours represent key catalysts that could sharpen consensus ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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