Forecasts from multiple models indicate a clear to partly cloudy night over Wuhan on September 4 under northeast winds of 5–10 km/h, supporting radiative cooling after daytime highs near 30–31°C. Current consensus from sources like LUFT TIME, WeatherBug, and regional outlooks centers the overnight low around 21–22°C, with trader-implied odds favoring 23°C at 56% amid tight clustering at 20–26°C. Model differences arise mainly from subtle variations in boundary-layer humidity and wind timing that modulate minimum temperatures by 1–3°C. Stable high pressure and absence of frontal systems or significant moisture keep probabilities for extremes below 10%, consistent with early-September climatology where radiative losses under clear skies typically produce lows in the low 20s Celsius. Updated model runs ahead of resolution will refine the precise threshold.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Wuhan em 4 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Wuhan em 4 de setembro?
25°C 73%
21°C 72%
22°C 72%
26°C 72%
NOVO
NOVO
4 set 2026
18°C ou menos
14%
19°C
9%
20°C
46%
21°C
72%
22°C
72%
23°C
55%
24°C
71%
25°C
73%
26°C
72%
27°C
2%
28°C ou mais
69%
25°C 73%
21°C 72%
22°C 72%
26°C 72%
NOVO
NOVO
4 set 2026
18°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
14%
19°C
$0 Vol.
9%
20°C
$0 Vol.
46%
21°C
$0 Vol.
72%
22°C
$0 Vol.
72%
23°C
$0 Vol.
55%
24°C
$0 Vol.
71%
25°C
$0 Vol.
73%
26°C
$0 Vol.
72%
27°C
$0 Vol.
2%
28°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from multiple models indicate a clear to partly cloudy night over Wuhan on September 4 under northeast winds of 5–10 km/h, supporting radiative cooling after daytime highs near 30–31°C. Current consensus from sources like LUFT TIME, WeatherBug, and regional outlooks centers the overnight low around 21–22°C, with trader-implied odds favoring 23°C at 56% amid tight clustering at 20–26°C. Model differences arise mainly from subtle variations in boundary-layer humidity and wind timing that modulate minimum temperatures by 1–3°C. Stable high pressure and absence of frontal systems or significant moisture keep probabilities for extremes below 10%, consistent with early-September climatology where radiative losses under clear skies typically produce lows in the low 20s Celsius. Updated model runs ahead of resolution will refine the precise threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$0Data de Término
4 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from multiple models indicate a clear to partly cloudy night over Wuhan on September 4 under northeast winds of 5–10 km/h, supporting radiative cooling after daytime highs near 30–31°C. Current consensus from sources like LUFT TIME, WeatherBug, and regional outlooks centers the overnight low around 21–22°C, with trader-implied odds favoring 23°C at 56% amid tight clustering at 20–26°C. Model differences arise mainly from subtle variations in boundary-layer humidity and wind timing that modulate minimum temperatures by 1–3°C. Stable high pressure and absence of frontal systems or significant moisture keep probabilities for extremes below 10%, consistent with early-September climatology where radiative losses under clear skies typically produce lows in the low 20s Celsius. Updated model runs ahead of resolution will refine the precise threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Data de Término
4 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from multiple models indicate a clear to partly cloudy night over Wuhan on September 4 under northeast winds of 5–10 km/h, supporting radiative cooling after daytime highs near 30–31°C. Current consensus from sources like LUFT TIME, WeatherBug, and regional outlooks centers the overnight low around 21–22°C, with trader-implied odds favoring 23°C at 56% amid tight clustering at 20–26°C. Model differences arise mainly from subtle variations in boundary-layer humidity and wind timing that modulate minimum temperatures by 1–3°C. Stable high pressure and absence of frontal systems or significant moisture keep probabilities for extremes below 10%, consistent with early-September climatology where radiative losses under clear skies typically produce lows in the low 20s Celsius. Updated model runs ahead of resolution will refine the precise threshold.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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