**Mitch McConnell’s prolonged recovery from a June 2026 fall and subsequent pneumonia continues to shape trader views on the “No” side at 72%.** The 84-year-old Kentucky Republican, who announced his retirement at the end of his term in January 2027, has cast no Senate votes since June 11 after being hospitalized on June 14. He was discharged from rehabilitation on August 6 and is following an intensive home physical-therapy regimen on doctors’ orders, with his office noting post-polio mobility challenges as a complicating factor. The Senate’s August recess ends soon, but no statements or indications from McConnell’s team have set a firm return date or confirmed readiness for floor votes by September 30. Recent footage from early June showing limited movement on the floor has added to questions about his condition. These developments, combined with the short window before the deadline and McConnell’s age and medical history, underpin the current market consensus that he is unlikely to vote again before the end of September.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSim
20% chance
NOVO
NOVO
30 set 2026
Sim
20% chance
NOVO
NOVO
30 set 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Senator Mitch McConnell of Kentucky casts a recorded vote in the United States Senate on any bill, resolution, nomination, motion, or any other measure between market creation and September 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Votes in committee will not be relevant for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Mitch McConnell’s prolonged recovery from a June 2026 fall and subsequent pneumonia continues to shape trader views on the “No” side at 72%.** The 84-year-old Kentucky Republican, who announced his retirement at the end of his term in January 2027, has cast no Senate votes since June 11 after being hospitalized on June 14. He was discharged from rehabilitation on August 6 and is following an intensive home physical-therapy regimen on doctors’ orders, with his office noting post-polio mobility challenges as a complicating factor.
The Senate’s August recess ends soon, but no statements or indications from McConnell’s team have set a firm return date or confirmed readiness for floor votes by September 30. Recent footage from early June showing limited movement on the floor has added to questions about his condition. These developments, combined with the short window before the deadline and McConnell’s age and medical history, underpin the current market consensus that he is unlikely to vote again before the end of September.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Senator Mitch McConnell of Kentucky casts a recorded vote in the United States Senate on any bill, resolution, nomination, motion, or any other measure between market creation and September 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Votes in committee will not be relevant for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Votes in committee will not be relevant for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 18, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
Volume
$195Data de Término
30 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 18, 2026, 3:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Senator Mitch McConnell of Kentucky casts a recorded vote in the United States Senate on any bill, resolution, nomination, motion, or any other measure between market creation and September 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Votes in committee will not be relevant for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Mitch McConnell’s prolonged recovery from a June 2026 fall and subsequent pneumonia continues to shape trader views on the “No” side at 72%.** The 84-year-old Kentucky Republican, who announced his retirement at the end of his term in January 2027, has cast no Senate votes since June 11 after being hospitalized on June 14. He was discharged from rehabilitation on August 6 and is following an intensive home physical-therapy regimen on doctors’ orders, with his office noting post-polio mobility challenges as a complicating factor.
The Senate’s August recess ends soon, but no statements or indications from McConnell’s team have set a firm return date or confirmed readiness for floor votes by September 30. Recent footage from early June showing limited movement on the floor has added to questions about his condition. These developments, combined with the short window before the deadline and McConnell’s age and medical history, underpin the current market consensus that he is unlikely to vote again before the end of September.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Senator Mitch McConnell of Kentucky casts a recorded vote in the United States Senate on any bill, resolution, nomination, motion, or any other measure between market creation and September 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Votes in committee will not be relevant for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Votes in committee will not be relevant for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$195Data de Término
30 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 18, 2026, 3:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Mitch McConnell’s prolonged recovery from a June 2026 fall and subsequent pneumonia continues to shape trader views on the “No” side at 72%.** The 84-year-old Kentucky Republican, who announced his retirement at the end of his term in January 2027, has cast no Senate votes since June 11 after being hospitalized on June 14. He was discharged from rehabilitation on August 6 and is following an intensive home physical-therapy regimen on doctors’ orders, with his office noting post-polio mobility challenges as a complicating factor. The Senate’s August recess ends soon, but no statements or indications from McConnell’s team have set a firm return date or confirmed readiness for floor votes by September 30. Recent footage from early June showing limited movement on the floor has added to questions about his condition. These developments, combined with the short window before the deadline and McConnell’s age and medical history, underpin the current market consensus that he is unlikely to vote again before the end of September.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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