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Mundo·Eleições Globais

Próximo Primeiro-Ministro da Suécia

Market icon
Mundo·Eleições Globais

Próximo Primeiro-Ministro da Suécia

Magdalena Andersson 57%

Ulf Kristersson 33%

Jimmie Åkesson 4.3%

Ebba Busch 1.0%

Polymarket

$1,800,219 Vol.

Magdalena Andersson 57%

Ulf Kristersson 33%

Jimmie Åkesson 4.3%

Ebba Busch 1.0%

Polymarket

$1,800,219 Vol.

Magdalena Andersson será a próxima primeira-ministra da Suécia? icon

Magdalena Andersson

$53,580 Vol.

57%

Ulf Kristersson será o próximo Primeiro-Ministro da Suécia? icon

Ulf Kristersson

$47,425 Vol.

33%

Jimmie Åkesson será o próximo primeiro-ministro da Suécia? icon

Jimmie Åkesson

$1,301,876 Vol.

4%

Ebba Busch será a próxima primeira-ministra da Suécia? icon

Ebba Busch

$278,862 Vol.

1%

Nooshi Dadgostar será a próxima Primeira-Ministra da Suécia? icon

Nooshi Dadgostar

$17,563 Vol.

<1%

Anna-Karin Hatt será a próxima Primeira-Ministra da Suécia? icon

Anna-Karin Hatt

$18,171 Vol.

<1%

Amanda Lind será a próxima Primeira-Ministra da Suécia? icon

Amanda Lind

$16,223 Vol.

<1%

Simona Mohamsson será a próxima Primeira-Ministra da Suécia? icon

Simona Mohamsson

$31,797 Vol.

<1%

Daniel Helldén será o próximo Primeiro-Ministro da Suécia? icon

Daniel Helldén

$18,665 Vol.

<1%

Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist será a próxima Primeira-Ministra da Suécia? icon

Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist

$16,057 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Magdalena Andersson at 57.5% implied probability to become Sweden's next prime minister after the September 13, 2026, general election, reflecting recent opinion polls where Social Democrats lead with around 33% support amid a tight race between the red-green bloc and the Tidö right-wing parties. Incumbent Ulf Kristersson trails at 33% on the market despite his Moderates polling second at 17-18%, as an April Ipsos survey shows Andersson preferred by 36% of voters versus Kristersson's 16% and Jimmie Åkesson's 15%. Kristersson's April 1 announcement opening the door to a full coalition government with the Sweden Democrats—including key ministries like migration—has drawn backlash, boosting opposition momentum in a contest defined by coalition negotiations and parliamentary arithmetic requiring 175 seats for a majority.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,800,219
Data de Término
13 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Magdalena Andersson at 57.5% implied probability to become Sweden's next prime minister after the September 13, 2026, general election, reflecting recent opinion polls where Social Democrats lead with around 33% support amid a tight race between the red-green bloc and the Tidö right-wing parties. Incumbent Ulf Kristersson trails at 33% on the market despite his Moderates polling second at 17-18%, as an April Ipsos survey shows Andersson preferred by 36% of voters versus Kristersson's 16% and Jimmie Åkesson's 15%. Kristersson's April 1 announcement opening the door to a full coalition government with the Sweden Democrats—including key ministries like migration—has drawn backlash, boosting opposition momentum in a contest defined by coalition negotiations and parliamentary arithmetic requiring 175 seats for a majority.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,800,219
Data de Término
13 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Próximo Primeiro-Ministro da Suécia" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Magdalena Andersson" at 57%, followed by "Ulf Kristersson" at 33%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 57¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 57% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Próximo Primeiro-Ministro da Suécia" has generated $1.8 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Próximo Primeiro-Ministro da Suécia," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Próximo Primeiro-Ministro da Suécia" is "Magdalena Andersson" at 57%, meaning the market assigns a 57% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ulf Kristersson" at 33%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Próximo Primeiro-Ministro da Suécia" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.