Incumbent Republican Stephanie Bice advanced automatically to the November 2026 general election after the June Republican primary was canceled due to lack of challengers, while Democrats hold a June 16 primary between Jena Nelson and Trey Martin to select their nominee. The district's R+9 Partisan Voter Index, established post-2020 redistricting, and Bice's prior victories by wide margins underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 82.5% over Democrats at 12.5%. Forecasters rate the race Solid Republican, reflecting limited Democratic path to victory in this reliably conservative seat absent major shifts before November.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoOK-05 Vencedor da eleição da Câmara
$10,218 Vol.
$10,218 Vol.
Partido Republicano
83%
Partido Democrata
13%
$10,218 Vol.
$10,218 Vol.
Partido Republicano
83%
Partido Democrata
13%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Stephanie Bice advanced automatically to the November 2026 general election after the June Republican primary was canceled due to lack of challengers, while Democrats hold a June 16 primary between Jena Nelson and Trey Martin to select their nominee. The district's R+9 Partisan Voter Index, established post-2020 redistricting, and Bice's prior victories by wide margins underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 82.5% over Democrats at 12.5%. Forecasters rate the race Solid Republican, reflecting limited Democratic path to victory in this reliably conservative seat absent major shifts before November.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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