Bob Brooks leads trader consensus at 60.5% implied probability in the PA-07 Democratic primary, driven by high-profile endorsements from Gov. Josh Shapiro—who featured in a six-figure TV ad buy launched April 7—and progressive groups like the Working Families Party, alongside strong union backing as Pennsylvania firefighters president. A recent Change Research survey of likely voters showed Brooks surging to 30% after biographical information, ahead of Ryan Crosswell at 18%, signaling his appeal in the working-class Lehigh Valley district. Crosswell holds 27% odds bolstered by top Q1 fundraising ($483K raised, $715K cash-on-hand) and VoteVets support, but lags in institutional momentum. With the May 19 primary approaching, debates like the April 1 forum highlighted credentials, keeping the race competitive amid undecided voters.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoPA-07 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas
PA-07 Vencedor das Primárias Democráticas
Bob Brooks 61%
Ryan Crosswell 34%
Aiden Gonzalez 4.5%
Lamont McClure 4.3%
$14,349 Vol.
$14,349 Vol.
Bob Brooks
61%
Ryan Crosswell
29%
Aiden Gonzalez
5%
Lamont McClure
4%
Carol Obando-Derstine
3%
Lewis Shupe
<1%
Bob Brooks 61%
Ryan Crosswell 34%
Aiden Gonzalez 4.5%
Lamont McClure 4.3%
$14,349 Vol.
$14,349 Vol.
Bob Brooks
61%
Ryan Crosswell
29%
Aiden Gonzalez
5%
Lamont McClure
4%
Carol Obando-Derstine
3%
Lewis Shupe
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 20, 2026, 1:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Bob Brooks leads trader consensus at 60.5% implied probability in the PA-07 Democratic primary, driven by high-profile endorsements from Gov. Josh Shapiro—who featured in a six-figure TV ad buy launched April 7—and progressive groups like the Working Families Party, alongside strong union backing as Pennsylvania firefighters president. A recent Change Research survey of likely voters showed Brooks surging to 30% after biographical information, ahead of Ryan Crosswell at 18%, signaling his appeal in the working-class Lehigh Valley district. Crosswell holds 27% odds bolstered by top Q1 fundraising ($483K raised, $715K cash-on-hand) and VoteVets support, but lags in institutional momentum. With the May 19 primary approaching, debates like the April 1 forum highlighted credentials, keeping the race competitive amid undecided voters.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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