Logistical chaos marred Peru's April 12-13 presidential first-round election, with polling delays, ballot shortages, and power outages—especially in Lima, representing 30% of the 27 million registered voters—suppressing turnout and anchoring trader consensus at 70-75% (85%). Compulsory voting typically yields high participation, as in 2021's 76% first round, but widespread disillusionment from a decade of political instability, eight presidents, and a fragmented field of 35 candidates fueled apathy. Ipsos exit polls estimated over 81%, yet partial ONPE actas (over 90% processed as of April 16) and urban low-afluencia reports suggest an official figure nearer 72-74%, explaining secondary pricing in 75-80% (7.5%) and 80-85% (6%). Full certification by the National Jury of Elections will resolve the market.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado70-75% 82.9%
75-80% 8%
80-85% 6.1%
< 70% 1.3%
$123,685 Vol.
$123,685 Vol.
12 abr 2026
< 70%
1%
70-75%
83%
75-80%
8%
80-85%
6%
> 85%
1%
70-75% 82.9%
75-80% 8%
80-85% 6.1%
< 70% 1.3%
$123,685 Vol.
$123,685 Vol.
12 abr 2026
< 70%
$18,684 Vol.
1%
70-75%
$35,228 Vol.
83%
75-80%
$19,019 Vol.
8%
80-85%
$42,724 Vol.
6%
> 85%
$8,030 Vol.
1%
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)Logistical chaos marred Peru's April 12-13 presidential first-round election, with polling delays, ballot shortages, and power outages—especially in Lima, representing 30% of the 27 million registered voters—suppressing turnout and anchoring trader consensus at 70-75% (85%). Compulsory voting typically yields high participation, as in 2021's 76% first round, but widespread disillusionment from a decade of political instability, eight presidents, and a fragmented field of 35 candidates fueled apathy. Ipsos exit polls estimated over 81%, yet partial ONPE actas (over 90% processed as of April 16) and urban low-afluencia reports suggest an official figure nearer 72-74%, explaining secondary pricing in 75-80% (7.5%) and 80-85% (6%). Full certification by the National Jury of Elections will resolve the market.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Mercado Aberto: Mar 20, 2026, 10:28 AM ET
Volume
$123,685Data de Término
12 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 20, 2026, 10:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)Logistical chaos marred Peru's April 12-13 presidential first-round election, with polling delays, ballot shortages, and power outages—especially in Lima, representing 30% of the 27 million registered voters—suppressing turnout and anchoring trader consensus at 70-75% (85%). Compulsory voting typically yields high participation, as in 2021's 76% first round, but widespread disillusionment from a decade of political instability, eight presidents, and a fragmented field of 35 candidates fueled apathy. Ipsos exit polls estimated over 81%, yet partial ONPE actas (over 90% processed as of April 16) and urban low-afluencia reports suggest an official figure nearer 72-74%, explaining secondary pricing in 75-80% (7.5%) and 80-85% (6%). Full certification by the National Jury of Elections will resolve the market.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Volume
$123,685Data de Término
12 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 20, 2026, 10:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Logistical chaos marred Peru's April 12-13 presidential first-round election, with polling delays, ballot shortages, and power outages—especially in Lima, representing 30% of the 27 million registered voters—suppressing turnout and anchoring trader consensus at 70-75% (85%). Compulsory voting typically yields high participation, as in 2021's 76% first round, but widespread disillusionment from a decade of political instability, eight presidents, and a fragmented field of 35 candidates fueled apathy. Ipsos exit polls estimated over 81%, yet partial ONPE actas (over 90% processed as of April 16) and urban low-afluencia reports suggest an official figure nearer 72-74%, explaining secondary pricing in 75-80% (7.5%) and 80-85% (6%). Full certification by the National Jury of Elections will resolve the market.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions