Keiko Fujimori holds a commanding first-round lead at around 17% in Peru's presidential election as the National Office of Electoral Processes (ONPE) nears 92% of actas counted four days after the April 12-13 vote, plagued by ballot delivery delays in Lima and overseas that extended voting. Roberto Sánchez Palomino recently overtook Rafael López Aliaga for second place near 12%, securing their spots in the June 7 runoff under Peru's two-round system requiring over 50% to win outright. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Fujimori's edge—64.5% implied probability of overall victory—driven by her pre-election poll dominance in a fragmented field of 35 candidates, strong regional support, and perceived resilience against left-leaning Sánchez or conservative López Aliaga, despite unsubstantiated fraud claims.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição presidencial do Peru
Vencedor da eleição presidencial do Peru
Keiko Fujimori 65%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino 20.8%
Rafael López Aliaga 16%
Carlos Álvarez <1%
$32,553,453 Vol.
$32,553,453 Vol.

Keiko Fujimori
65%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino
21%

Rafael López Aliaga
16%

Carlos Álvarez
<1%

César Acuña
<1%

Vladimir Cerrón
<1%

Roberto Chiabra
<1%

Enrique Valderrama
<1%

Mesías Guevara
<1%

Jorge Nieto
<1%

Mario Vizcarra
<1%

José Luna
<1%

José Williams
<1%

Fiorella Molinelli
<1%

Fernando Olivera
<1%

Yonhy Lescano
<1%

Alfonso López Chau
<1%

George Forsyth
<1%

Ricardo Belmont
<1%

Carlos Espá
<1%

Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
<1%

Marisol Pérez Tello
<1%

Wolfgang Grozo
<1%
Keiko Fujimori 65%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino 20.8%
Rafael López Aliaga 16%
Carlos Álvarez <1%
$32,553,453 Vol.
$32,553,453 Vol.

Keiko Fujimori
65%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino
21%

Rafael López Aliaga
16%

Carlos Álvarez
<1%

César Acuña
<1%

Vladimir Cerrón
<1%

Roberto Chiabra
<1%

Enrique Valderrama
<1%

Mesías Guevara
<1%

Jorge Nieto
<1%

Mario Vizcarra
<1%

José Luna
<1%

José Williams
<1%

Fiorella Molinelli
<1%

Fernando Olivera
<1%

Yonhy Lescano
<1%

Alfonso López Chau
<1%

George Forsyth
<1%

Ricardo Belmont
<1%

Carlos Espá
<1%

Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
<1%

Marisol Pérez Tello
<1%

Wolfgang Grozo
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Mercado Aberto: Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Keiko Fujimori holds a commanding first-round lead at around 17% in Peru's presidential election as the National Office of Electoral Processes (ONPE) nears 92% of actas counted four days after the April 12-13 vote, plagued by ballot delivery delays in Lima and overseas that extended voting. Roberto Sánchez Palomino recently overtook Rafael López Aliaga for second place near 12%, securing their spots in the June 7 runoff under Peru's two-round system requiring over 50% to win outright. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Fujimori's edge—64.5% implied probability of overall victory—driven by her pre-election poll dominance in a fragmented field of 35 candidates, strong regional support, and perceived resilience against left-leaning Sánchez or conservative López Aliaga, despite unsubstantiated fraud claims.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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