Skip to main content
Market icon

Vencedor da eleição presidencial do Peru

Market icon

Vencedor da eleição presidencial do Peru

Keiko Fujimori 65%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino 20.2%

Rafael López Aliaga 16%

Ricardo Belmont <1%

Polymarket

$32,414,078 Vol.

Keiko Fujimori 65%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino 20.2%

Rafael López Aliaga 16%

Ricardo Belmont <1%

Polymarket

$32,414,078 Vol.

Keiko Fujimori vencerá a eleição presidencial peruana de 2026? icon

Keiko Fujimori

$4,169,336 Vol.

65%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino vencerá a eleição presidencial peruana de 2026? icon

Roberto Sánchez Palomino

$5,776,155 Vol.

20%

Rafael López Aliaga vencerá a eleição presidencial peruana de 2026? icon

Rafael López Aliaga

$6,481,235 Vol.

16%

Ricardo Belmont vencerá a eleição presidencial peruana de 2026? icon

Ricardo Belmont

$3,316,606 Vol.

<1%

Carlos Álvarez vencerá a eleição presidencial peruana de 2026? icon

Carlos Álvarez

$1,793,879 Vol.

<1%

César Acuña vencerá a eleição presidencial peruana de 2026? icon

César Acuña

$626,867 Vol.

<1%

Vladimir Cerrón vencerá a eleição presidencial peruana de 2026? icon

Vladimir Cerrón

$241,972 Vol.

<1%

Roberto Chiabra vencerá a eleição presidencial peruana de 2026? icon

Roberto Chiabra

$126,420 Vol.

<1%

Enrique Valderrama ganhará a eleição presidencial peruana de 2026? icon

Enrique Valderrama

$240,856 Vol.

<1%

Mesías Guevara vencerá a eleição presidencial peruana de 2026? icon

Mesías Guevara

$318,078 Vol.

<1%

Jorge Nieto vencerá a eleição presidencial peruana de 2026? icon

Jorge Nieto

$3,958,005 Vol.

<1%

Mario Vizcarra vencerá a eleição presidencial peruana de 2026? icon

Mario Vizcarra

$192,887 Vol.

<1%

José Luna vencerá a eleição presidencial peruana de 2026? icon

José Luna

$360,828 Vol.

<1%

José Williams vencerá a eleição presidencial peruana de 2026? icon

José Williams

$131,964 Vol.

<1%

Fiorella Molinelli vencerá as eleições presidenciais peruanas de 2026? icon

Fiorella Molinelli

$154,433 Vol.

<1%

Fernando Olivera vencerá a eleição presidencial peruana de 2026? icon

Fernando Olivera

$437,406 Vol.

<1%

Yonhy Lescano vencerá a eleição presidencial peruana de 2026? icon

Yonhy Lescano

$428,454 Vol.

<1%

Alfonso López Chau ganhará a eleição presidencial peruana de 2026? icon

Alfonso López Chau

$1,214,494 Vol.

<1%

George Forsyth vencerá a eleição presidencial peruana de 2026? icon

George Forsyth

$271,278 Vol.

<1%

Carlos Espá vencerá a eleição presidencial peruana de 2026? icon

Carlos Espá

$679,352 Vol.

<1%

Rafael Belaúnde Llosa vai ganhar a eleição presidencial peruana de 2026? icon

Rafael Belaúnde Llosa

$214,595 Vol.

<1%

Marisol Pérez Tello vencerá a eleição presidencial peruana de 2026? icon

Marisol Pérez Tello

$632,529 Vol.

<1%

Wolfgang Grozo vencerá a eleição presidencial peruana de 2026? icon

Wolfgang Grozo

$668,138 Vol.

<1%

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) With over 91% of first-round votes counted from Peru's April 12-13 presidential election, Keiko Fujimori leads at 17%, advancing to the June 7 runoff alongside Roberto Sánchez Palomino, who narrowly overtook Rafael López Aliaga for second place at around 12%. Logistical delays in ballot delivery extended voting for over 50,000 voters and stretched counting into a third day, prompting unsubstantiated fraud claims from trailing candidates, though EU observers found no evidence. Trader consensus reflects Fujimori's frontrunner status—driven by Fuerza Popular's strong conservative base and her experience in prior runoffs—positioning her as the implied favorite against the left-wing Sánchez, while López Aliaga retains competitive odds amid the tight second-place finish.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Volume
$32,414,078
Data de Término
7 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) With over 91% of first-round votes counted from Peru's April 12-13 presidential election, Keiko Fujimori leads at 17%, advancing to the June 7 runoff alongside Roberto Sánchez Palomino, who narrowly overtook Rafael López Aliaga for second place at around 12%. Logistical delays in ballot delivery extended voting for over 50,000 voters and stretched counting into a third day, prompting unsubstantiated fraud claims from trailing candidates, though EU observers found no evidence. Trader consensus reflects Fujimori's frontrunner status—driven by Fuerza Popular's strong conservative base and her experience in prior runoffs—positioning her as the implied favorite against the left-wing Sánchez, while López Aliaga retains competitive odds amid the tight second-place finish.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Volume
$32,414,078
Data de Término
7 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição presidencial do Peru" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 23 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Keiko Fujimori" at 65%, followed by "Roberto Sánchez Palomino" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 65¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da eleição presidencial do Peru" has generated $32.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 16, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição presidencial do Peru," browse the 23 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição presidencial do Peru" is "Keiko Fujimori" at 65%, meaning the market assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Roberto Sánchez Palomino" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição presidencial do Peru" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.