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Política·Bolívia

Vencedor da eleição para governador de Santa Cruz (Bolívia)

Market icon
Política·Bolívia

Vencedor da eleição para governador de Santa Cruz (Bolívia)

Juan Pablo Velasco 81.4%

Otto Ritter 16.4%

Juan Carlos Medrano <1%

Mauricio Quezada <1%

Polymarket

$797,433 Vol.

Juan Pablo Velasco 81.4%

Otto Ritter 16.4%

Juan Carlos Medrano <1%

Mauricio Quezada <1%

Polymarket

$797,433 Vol.

Juan Pablo Velasco

$334,806 Vol.

81%

Otto Ritter

$105,498 Vol.

16%

Juan Carlos Medrano

$26,745 Vol.

<1%

Mauricio Quezada

$21,893 Vol.

<1%

Chi Hyun Chung

$26,234 Vol.

<1%

Julio César Tórrez

$26,347 Vol.

<1%

Guido Eduardo Nayar

$50,705 Vol.

<1%

Miguel Cadima

$23,254 Vol.

<1%

Vladimir Peña

$38,716 Vol.

<1%

Luis Fernando Camacho

$143,235 Vol.

<1%

The Santa Cruz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Juan Pablo Velasco at 81.4% implied probability to win Bolivia's Santa Cruz governorship runoff against Otto Ritter on April 19, reflecting his consistent lead since topping the fragmented March 22 first round with 28-29% to Ritter's 26-27%. A key driver is the April 12 Unitel/Ipsos CIESMORI poll (fieldwork April 3-9), showing Velasco ahead 43.6%-34.7% among decided voters, with 15.1% undecided likely consolidating toward the frontrunner amid Santa Cruz's conservative, pro-autonomy electorate. Velasco's strong debate showing last weekend and endorsements from eliminated rivals like Luis Fernando Camacho bolster his path, rendering other candidates irrelevant in the head-to-head second round. Late turnout or shifts could narrow the gap.

The Santa Cruz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Volume
$797,433
Data de Término
19 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 20, 2026, 11:20 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The Santa Cruz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
The Santa Cruz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Juan Pablo Velasco at 81.4% implied probability to win Bolivia's Santa Cruz governorship runoff against Otto Ritter on April 19, reflecting his consistent lead since topping the fragmented March 22 first round with 28-29% to Ritter's 26-27%. A key driver is the April 12 Unitel/Ipsos CIESMORI poll (fieldwork April 3-9), showing Velasco ahead 43.6%-34.7% among decided voters, with 15.1% undecided likely consolidating toward the frontrunner amid Santa Cruz's conservative, pro-autonomy electorate. Velasco's strong debate showing last weekend and endorsements from eliminated rivals like Luis Fernando Camacho bolster his path, rendering other candidates irrelevant in the head-to-head second round. Late turnout or shifts could narrow the gap.

The Santa Cruz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Volume
$797,433
Data de Término
19 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 20, 2026, 11:20 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The Santa Cruz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição para governador de Santa Cruz (Bolívia)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Juan Pablo Velasco" at 81%, followed by "Otto Ritter" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 81¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 81% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da eleição para governador de Santa Cruz (Bolívia)" has generated $797.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 20, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição para governador de Santa Cruz (Bolívia)," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição para governador de Santa Cruz (Bolívia)" is "Juan Pablo Velasco" at 81%, meaning the market assigns a 81% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Otto Ritter" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição para governador de Santa Cruz (Bolívia)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.