Texas's 38th congressional district maintains a solid Republican lean, reflected in nonpartisan ratings classifying the general election as Safe or Solid Republican. The open seat created by incumbent Wesley Hunt's Senate bid has not altered the underlying partisan makeup, with the district showing consistent double-digit Republican margins in prior cycles. On the Republican side, Jon Bonck holds a substantial lead over Shelly deZevallos ahead of their May 26 runoff, while Melissa McDonough secured the Democratic nomination in March. These dynamics, combined with the district's voter composition and absence of competitive polling shifts, sustain trader consensus around an 80 percent probability for the Republican nominee in the November general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para a Casa TX-38
Vencedor da eleição para a Casa TX-38
$16,905 Vol.
$16,905 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
79%
Partido Democrata
20%
$16,905 Vol.
$16,905 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$11,350 Vol.
79%
Partido Democrata
$5,555 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 38th congressional district maintains a solid Republican lean, reflected in nonpartisan ratings classifying the general election as Safe or Solid Republican. The open seat created by incumbent Wesley Hunt's Senate bid has not altered the underlying partisan makeup, with the district showing consistent double-digit Republican margins in prior cycles. On the Republican side, Jon Bonck holds a substantial lead over Shelly deZevallos ahead of their May 26 runoff, while Melissa McDonough secured the Democratic nomination in March. These dynamics, combined with the district's voter composition and absence of competitive polling shifts, sustain trader consensus around an 80 percent probability for the Republican nominee in the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$16,905Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 38th congressional district maintains a solid Republican lean, reflected in nonpartisan ratings classifying the general election as Safe or Solid Republican. The open seat created by incumbent Wesley Hunt's Senate bid has not altered the underlying partisan makeup, with the district showing consistent double-digit Republican margins in prior cycles. On the Republican side, Jon Bonck holds a substantial lead over Shelly deZevallos ahead of their May 26 runoff, while Melissa McDonough secured the Democratic nomination in March. These dynamics, combined with the district's voter composition and absence of competitive polling shifts, sustain trader consensus around an 80 percent probability for the Republican nominee in the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$16,905Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 38th congressional district maintains a solid Republican lean, reflected in nonpartisan ratings classifying the general election as Safe or Solid Republican. The open seat created by incumbent Wesley Hunt's Senate bid has not altered the underlying partisan makeup, with the district showing consistent double-digit Republican margins in prior cycles. On the Republican side, Jon Bonck holds a substantial lead over Shelly deZevallos ahead of their May 26 runoff, while Melissa McDonough secured the Democratic nomination in March. These dynamics, combined with the district's voter composition and absence of competitive polling shifts, sustain trader consensus around an 80 percent probability for the Republican nominee in the November general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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