Hilda Solis, the Democratic nominee and former U.S. Labor Secretary with extensive local and federal experience, advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary in the open California 38th district alongside Republican Pedro Casas. The newly drawn seat spans heavily Democratic portions of Los Angeles County with pockets in Orange County, producing a partisan voting index and registration edge that election forecasters rate as Solid Democratic. Trader consensus at 94.5% for a Democratic win reflects the district's structural lean, Solis's strong primary performance and fundraising, and the absence of competitive polling or notable Republican momentum. A realistic shift in odds would require an unexpected development such as a major candidate-specific issue or a sweeping national political realignment before the November general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa CA-38
Vencedor da eleição da casa CA-38
$62,094 Vol.
$62,094 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
95%
Partido Republicano
2%
$62,094 Vol.
$62,094 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$31,035 Vol.
95%
Partido Republicano
$31,059 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hilda Solis, the Democratic nominee and former U.S. Labor Secretary with extensive local and federal experience, advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary in the open California 38th district alongside Republican Pedro Casas. The newly drawn seat spans heavily Democratic portions of Los Angeles County with pockets in Orange County, producing a partisan voting index and registration edge that election forecasters rate as Solid Democratic. Trader consensus at 94.5% for a Democratic win reflects the district's structural lean, Solis's strong primary performance and fundraising, and the absence of competitive polling or notable Republican momentum. A realistic shift in odds would require an unexpected development such as a major candidate-specific issue or a sweeping national political realignment before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$62,094Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hilda Solis, the Democratic nominee and former U.S. Labor Secretary with extensive local and federal experience, advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary in the open California 38th district alongside Republican Pedro Casas. The newly drawn seat spans heavily Democratic portions of Los Angeles County with pockets in Orange County, producing a partisan voting index and registration edge that election forecasters rate as Solid Democratic. Trader consensus at 94.5% for a Democratic win reflects the district's structural lean, Solis's strong primary performance and fundraising, and the absence of competitive polling or notable Republican momentum. A realistic shift in odds would require an unexpected development such as a major candidate-specific issue or a sweeping national political realignment before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$62,094Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Hilda Solis, the Democratic nominee and former U.S. Labor Secretary with extensive local and federal experience, advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary in the open California 38th district alongside Republican Pedro Casas. The newly drawn seat spans heavily Democratic portions of Los Angeles County with pockets in Orange County, producing a partisan voting index and registration edge that election forecasters rate as Solid Democratic. Trader consensus at 94.5% for a Democratic win reflects the district's structural lean, Solis's strong primary performance and fundraising, and the absence of competitive polling or notable Republican momentum. A realistic shift in odds would require an unexpected development such as a major candidate-specific issue or a sweeping national political realignment before the November general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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