With over 91% of actas processed by Peru's National Electoral Processes Office (ONPE) as of April 15, Keiko Fujimori leads the fragmented first-round presidential vote at 17%, but second place remains contested among Roberto Sánchez Palomino (12.1%), Rafael López Aliaga (11.9%), and Jorge Nieto (11.1%), driving trader consensus toward "Other" combinations at 61% implied probability. Pre-election polls had positioned López Aliaga and Fujimori as likely runoff contenders amid a record 35-candidate field, sustaining their pairing at 39%, though logistical delays—preventing 50,000+ voters from casting ballots—and unsubstantiated fraud claims by López Aliaga have fueled disputes without altering official tallies per EU observers. Final certification could shift dynamics ahead of a potential June 7 runoff.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoOutro 61.3%
López Aliaga & Fujimori 39%
Fujimori & Nieto <1%
López Aliaga & López Chau <1%
$988,061 Vol.
$988,061 Vol.
12 abr 2026
Outro
61%
López Aliaga & Fujimori
39%
Fujimori & Nieto
1%
López Aliaga & López Chau
<1%
López Aliaga & Nieto
<1%
López Chau & Fujimori
<1%
López Chau & Nieto
<1%
López Chau & Sánchez Palomino
<1%
López Aliaga & Sánchez Palomino
<1%
López Aliaga & Grozo
<1%
Outro 61.3%
López Aliaga & Fujimori 39%
Fujimori & Nieto <1%
López Aliaga & López Chau <1%
$988,061 Vol.
$988,061 Vol.
12 abr 2026
Outro
$249,457 Vol.
61%
López Aliaga & Fujimori
$326,523 Vol.
39%
Fujimori & Nieto
$199,100 Vol.
1%
López Aliaga & López Chau
$24,017 Vol.
<1%
López Aliaga & Nieto
$32,793 Vol.
<1%
López Chau & Fujimori
$67,800 Vol.
<1%
López Chau & Nieto
$16,487 Vol.
<1%
López Chau & Sánchez Palomino
$24,264 Vol.
<1%
López Aliaga & Sánchez Palomino
$37,670 Vol.
<1%
López Aliaga & Grozo
$9,953 Vol.
<1%
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).With over 91% of actas processed by Peru's National Electoral Processes Office (ONPE) as of April 15, Keiko Fujimori leads the fragmented first-round presidential vote at 17%, but second place remains contested among Roberto Sánchez Palomino (12.1%), Rafael López Aliaga (11.9%), and Jorge Nieto (11.1%), driving trader consensus toward "Other" combinations at 61% implied probability. Pre-election polls had positioned López Aliaga and Fujimori as likely runoff contenders amid a record 35-candidate field, sustaining their pairing at 39%, though logistical delays—preventing 50,000+ voters from casting ballots—and unsubstantiated fraud claims by López Aliaga have fueled disputes without altering official tallies per EU observers. Final certification could shift dynamics ahead of a potential June 7 runoff.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Mercado Aberto: Mar 23, 2026, 2:03 PM ET
Volume
$988,061Data de Término
12 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 23, 2026, 2:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).With over 91% of actas processed by Peru's National Electoral Processes Office (ONPE) as of April 15, Keiko Fujimori leads the fragmented first-round presidential vote at 17%, but second place remains contested among Roberto Sánchez Palomino (12.1%), Rafael López Aliaga (11.9%), and Jorge Nieto (11.1%), driving trader consensus toward "Other" combinations at 61% implied probability. Pre-election polls had positioned López Aliaga and Fujimori as likely runoff contenders amid a record 35-candidate field, sustaining their pairing at 39%, though logistical delays—preventing 50,000+ voters from casting ballots—and unsubstantiated fraud claims by López Aliaga have fueled disputes without altering official tallies per EU observers. Final certification could shift dynamics ahead of a potential June 7 runoff.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Volume
$988,061Data de Término
12 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 23, 2026, 2:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...With over 91% of actas processed by Peru's National Electoral Processes Office (ONPE) as of April 15, Keiko Fujimori leads the fragmented first-round presidential vote at 17%, but second place remains contested among Roberto Sánchez Palomino (12.1%), Rafael López Aliaga (11.9%), and Jorge Nieto (11.1%), driving trader consensus toward "Other" combinations at 61% implied probability. Pre-election polls had positioned López Aliaga and Fujimori as likely runoff contenders amid a record 35-candidate field, sustaining their pairing at 39%, though logistical delays—preventing 50,000+ voters from casting ballots—and unsubstantiated fraud claims by López Aliaga have fueled disputes without altering official tallies per EU observers. Final certification could shift dynamics ahead of a potential June 7 runoff.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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