With over 80% of ballots counted four days after Peru's April 12 first-round presidential election, Keiko Fujimori leads at around 17%, but second place remains undecided in a tight contest among Rafael López Aliaga (15%), Roberto Sánchez Palomino, Jorge Nieto, and others near 10-13%, fueling trader consensus for "Other" pairings at 63.4%. López Aliaga & Fujimori holds 36% implied probability due to his strong early performance in partial tallies by the National Office of Electoral Processes (ONPE). Logistical delays in rural ballot delivery, fraud allegations from López Aliaga without evidence, and protests outside the National Jury of Elections (JNE) heighten uncertainty, as no candidate nears 50% for outright victory, setting a June 7 runoff. Fragmented field of 35 candidates underscores the closely contested nature.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoOutro 62.9%
López Aliaga & Fujimori 39%
Fujimori & Nieto <1%
López Aliaga & López Chau <1%
$987,035 Vol.
$987,035 Vol.
12 abr 2026
Outro
63%
López Aliaga & Fujimori
39%
Fujimori & Nieto
1%
López Aliaga & López Chau
<1%
López Aliaga & Nieto
<1%
López Chau & Fujimori
<1%
López Chau & Nieto
<1%
López Chau & Sánchez Palomino
<1%
López Aliaga & Sánchez Palomino
<1%
López Aliaga & Grozo
<1%
Outro 62.9%
López Aliaga & Fujimori 39%
Fujimori & Nieto <1%
López Aliaga & López Chau <1%
$987,035 Vol.
$987,035 Vol.
12 abr 2026
Outro
$249,279 Vol.
63%
López Aliaga & Fujimori
$326,505 Vol.
39%
Fujimori & Nieto
$199,100 Vol.
1%
López Aliaga & López Chau
$24,017 Vol.
<1%
López Aliaga & Nieto
$32,793 Vol.
<1%
López Chau & Fujimori
$67,800 Vol.
<1%
López Chau & Nieto
$16,487 Vol.
<1%
López Chau & Sánchez Palomino
$24,264 Vol.
<1%
López Aliaga & Sánchez Palomino
$37,670 Vol.
<1%
López Aliaga & Grozo
$9,953 Vol.
<1%
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).With over 80% of ballots counted four days after Peru's April 12 first-round presidential election, Keiko Fujimori leads at around 17%, but second place remains undecided in a tight contest among Rafael López Aliaga (15%), Roberto Sánchez Palomino, Jorge Nieto, and others near 10-13%, fueling trader consensus for "Other" pairings at 63.4%. López Aliaga & Fujimori holds 36% implied probability due to his strong early performance in partial tallies by the National Office of Electoral Processes (ONPE). Logistical delays in rural ballot delivery, fraud allegations from López Aliaga without evidence, and protests outside the National Jury of Elections (JNE) heighten uncertainty, as no candidate nears 50% for outright victory, setting a June 7 runoff. Fragmented field of 35 candidates underscores the closely contested nature.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Mercado Aberto: Mar 23, 2026, 2:03 PM ET
Volume
$987,035Data de Término
12 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 23, 2026, 2:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).With over 80% of ballots counted four days after Peru's April 12 first-round presidential election, Keiko Fujimori leads at around 17%, but second place remains undecided in a tight contest among Rafael López Aliaga (15%), Roberto Sánchez Palomino, Jorge Nieto, and others near 10-13%, fueling trader consensus for "Other" pairings at 63.4%. López Aliaga & Fujimori holds 36% implied probability due to his strong early performance in partial tallies by the National Office of Electoral Processes (ONPE). Logistical delays in rural ballot delivery, fraud allegations from López Aliaga without evidence, and protests outside the National Jury of Elections (JNE) heighten uncertainty, as no candidate nears 50% for outright victory, setting a June 7 runoff. Fragmented field of 35 candidates underscores the closely contested nature.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Volume
$987,035Data de Término
12 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 23, 2026, 2:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...With over 80% of ballots counted four days after Peru's April 12 first-round presidential election, Keiko Fujimori leads at around 17%, but second place remains undecided in a tight contest among Rafael López Aliaga (15%), Roberto Sánchez Palomino, Jorge Nieto, and others near 10-13%, fueling trader consensus for "Other" pairings at 63.4%. López Aliaga & Fujimori holds 36% implied probability due to his strong early performance in partial tallies by the National Office of Electoral Processes (ONPE). Logistical delays in rural ballot delivery, fraud allegations from López Aliaga without evidence, and protests outside the National Jury of Elections (JNE) heighten uncertainty, as no candidate nears 50% for outright victory, setting a June 7 runoff. Fragmented field of 35 candidates underscores the closely contested nature.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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