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icon for Um país deixará o BRICS em 2026?

Um país deixará o BRICS em 2026?

icon for Um país deixará o BRICS em 2026?

Um país deixará o BRICS em 2026?

dez 31

dez 31

Sim

3% chance
Polymarket

$75,464 Vol.

Sim

3% chance
Polymarket

$75,464 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state formally withdraws from BRICS or provides an official notice of denunciation to BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal. The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and BRICS; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.No BRICS member has issued withdrawal notices or public signals of intent to exit ahead of or during 2026, underpinning the strong trader consensus against departure. All ten full members participated in the May 2026 foreign ministers meeting in New Delhi under India's rotating chairmanship, even as divisions over the Iran conflict prevented a joint statement. External U.S. tariff pressures and internal frictions have produced no leadership changes or policy reversals that historically precede exits. Ongoing interest from additional nations seeking membership or partner status further underscores bloc stability, with the September 2026 summit in India expected to maintain continuity rather than prompt departures.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state formally withdraws from BRICS or provides an official notice of denunciation to BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal.

The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and BRICS; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$75,464
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 7, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state formally withdraws from BRICS or provides an official notice of denunciation to BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal. The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and BRICS; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state formally withdraws from BRICS or provides an official notice of denunciation to BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal. The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and BRICS; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.No BRICS member has issued withdrawal notices or public signals of intent to exit ahead of or during 2026, underpinning the strong trader consensus against departure. All ten full members participated in the May 2026 foreign ministers meeting in New Delhi under India's rotating chairmanship, even as divisions over the Iran conflict prevented a joint statement. External U.S. tariff pressures and internal frictions have produced no leadership changes or policy reversals that historically precede exits. Ongoing interest from additional nations seeking membership or partner status further underscores bloc stability, with the September 2026 summit in India expected to maintain continuity rather than prompt departures.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state formally withdraws from BRICS or provides an official notice of denunciation to BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal.

The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and BRICS; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$75,464
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 7, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state formally withdraws from BRICS or provides an official notice of denunciation to BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal. The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and BRICS; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Um país deixará o BRICS em 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Um país deixará o BRICS em 2026?" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 3¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 3% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Um país deixará o BRICS em 2026?" has generated $75.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 7, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Um país deixará o BRICS em 2026?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Um país deixará o BRICS em 2026?" is "Um país deixará o BRICS em 2026?" at just 3%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Um país deixará o BRICS em 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.