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icon for O BRICS adicionará um novo membro em 2026?

O BRICS adicionará um novo membro em 2026?

icon for O BRICS adicionará um novo membro em 2026?

O BRICS adicionará um novo membro em 2026?

Sim

13% chance
Polymarket

$38,332 Vol.

Sim

13% chance
Polymarket

$38,332 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new country accepts an invitation to join BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only new member states, not new partner states, will be considered toward this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this country will be information from BRICS members (e.g., https://brics.br/en/about-the-brics, etc.); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**BRICS has paused full membership expansion amid internal divergences and a priority on integrating its recent additions.** Following rapid growth to 11 members—including Indonesia’s accession in early 2025—Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov stated in June 2026 that the group has suspended further enlargement plans due to political differences and the need to streamline operations after doubling in size. India’s 2026 presidency, culminating in the September 12–13 New Delhi summit, focuses on formalizing membership criteria and reviewing partner-country applications from nations such as Turkey, Malaysia, Nigeria, and Vietnam rather than approving immediate full members. Reports from the Carnegie Endowment and other analyses note that consensus on new admissions remains difficult, with the bloc emphasizing “integration of members and partners” over additional growth. These developments, including Lavrov’s explicit caution and the absence of any confirmed 2026 additions to date, underpin traders’ strong expectation that no new full member will join this year.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new country accepts an invitation to join BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only new member states, not new partner states, will be considered toward this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this country will be information from BRICS members (e.g., https://brics.br/en/about-the-brics, etc.); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$38,332
Data de Término
1 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Jan 7, 2026, 5:09 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new country accepts an invitation to join BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only new member states, not new partner states, will be considered toward this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this country will be information from BRICS members (e.g., https://brics.br/en/about-the-brics, etc.); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new country accepts an invitation to join BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only new member states, not new partner states, will be considered toward this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this country will be information from BRICS members (e.g., https://brics.br/en/about-the-brics, etc.); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**BRICS has paused full membership expansion amid internal divergences and a priority on integrating its recent additions.** Following rapid growth to 11 members—including Indonesia’s accession in early 2025—Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov stated in June 2026 that the group has suspended further enlargement plans due to political differences and the need to streamline operations after doubling in size. India’s 2026 presidency, culminating in the September 12–13 New Delhi summit, focuses on formalizing membership criteria and reviewing partner-country applications from nations such as Turkey, Malaysia, Nigeria, and Vietnam rather than approving immediate full members. Reports from the Carnegie Endowment and other analyses note that consensus on new admissions remains difficult, with the bloc emphasizing “integration of members and partners” over additional growth. These developments, including Lavrov’s explicit caution and the absence of any confirmed 2026 additions to date, underpin traders’ strong expectation that no new full member will join this year.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new country accepts an invitation to join BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only new member states, not new partner states, will be considered toward this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this country will be information from BRICS members (e.g., https://brics.br/en/about-the-brics, etc.); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$38,332
Data de Término
1 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Jan 7, 2026, 5:09 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new country accepts an invitation to join BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only new member states, not new partner states, will be considered toward this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this country will be information from BRICS members (e.g., https://brics.br/en/about-the-brics, etc.); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"O BRICS adicionará um novo membro em 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Os BRICS adicionarão um novo membro em 2026?" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 13¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 13% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "O BRICS adicionará um novo membro em 2026?" has generated $38.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 7, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "O BRICS adicionará um novo membro em 2026?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "O BRICS adicionará um novo membro em 2026?" is "Os BRICS adicionarão um novo membro em 2026?" at 13%, meaning the market assigns a 13% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "O BRICS adicionará um novo membro em 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.