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icon for O Senado aprovará a Lei SAVE America (HR 7296)?

O Senado aprovará a Lei SAVE America (HR 7296)?

icon for O Senado aprovará a Lei SAVE America (HR 7296)?

O Senado aprovará a Lei SAVE America (HR 7296)?

Sim

<1% chance
Polymarket

$49,929 Vol.

Sim

<1% chance
Polymarket

$49,929 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes H.R. 7296, the Save America Act, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If a final vote on passage of the Save America Act is held in the Senate, and the bill fails, this market will resolve immediately to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/7296) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296), requiring documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration and photo ID to vote, passed the House on a narrow party-line 218-213 vote in February 2026 but has stalled in the Democratic-controlled Senate. Traders' near-unanimous 99.9% "No" consensus stems from insurmountable filibuster hurdles needing 60 votes for cloture, with Democrats uniformly opposing it as unnecessary voter suppression amid low evidence of non-citizen voting. A recent April 23 amendment bid to attach it to a reconciliation package failed 48-50, underscoring lack of bipartisan support. Realistic shifts would require filibuster reform—rejected by Senate GOP leadership—or a surprise standalone floor vote before the 119th Congress ends in January 2027, both improbable given current whip counts and priorities.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes H.R. 7296, the Save America Act, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If a final vote on passage of the Save America Act is held in the Senate, and the bill fails, this market will resolve immediately to "No".

The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/7296) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$49,929
Data de Término
30 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 13, 2026, 2:53 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes H.R. 7296, the Save America Act, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If a final vote on passage of the Save America Act is held in the Senate, and the bill fails, this market will resolve immediately to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/7296) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resultado proposto: Não

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Não

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes H.R. 7296, the Save America Act, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If a final vote on passage of the Save America Act is held in the Senate, and the bill fails, this market will resolve immediately to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/7296) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296), requiring documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration and photo ID to vote, passed the House on a narrow party-line 218-213 vote in February 2026 but has stalled in the Democratic-controlled Senate. Traders' near-unanimous 99.9% "No" consensus stems from insurmountable filibuster hurdles needing 60 votes for cloture, with Democrats uniformly opposing it as unnecessary voter suppression amid low evidence of non-citizen voting. A recent April 23 amendment bid to attach it to a reconciliation package failed 48-50, underscoring lack of bipartisan support. Realistic shifts would require filibuster reform—rejected by Senate GOP leadership—or a surprise standalone floor vote before the 119th Congress ends in January 2027, both improbable given current whip counts and priorities.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes H.R. 7296, the Save America Act, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If a final vote on passage of the Save America Act is held in the Senate, and the bill fails, this market will resolve immediately to "No".

The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/7296) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$49,929
Data de Término
30 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 13, 2026, 2:53 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes H.R. 7296, the Save America Act, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If a final vote on passage of the Save America Act is held in the Senate, and the bill fails, this market will resolve immediately to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/7296) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resultado proposto: Não

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Não

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"O Senado aprovará a Lei SAVE America (HR 7296)?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "O Senado aprovará a Lei SALVE a América (H.R. 7296)?" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 0¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 0% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "O Senado aprovará a Lei SAVE America (HR 7296)?" has generated $49.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 13, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "O Senado aprovará a Lei SAVE America (HR 7296)?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "O Senado aprovará a Lei SAVE America (HR 7296)?" is "O Senado aprovará a Lei SALVE a América (H.R. 7296)?" at just 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "O Senado aprovará a Lei SAVE America (HR 7296)?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.