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Promessas De Campanha previsões e probabilidades

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Tucker Carlson announces a run for office by June 30?

Tucker Carlson announces a run for office by June 30?

43%

$471 Vol.

$115 Liq.

Ends em 2 meses

Will Ken Paxton drop out?

Will Ken Paxton drop out?

5%

$5.6K Vol.

$18.3K Liq.

Ends em 27 dias

Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store  by June 30?

Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?

2%

$243K Vol.

$23.5K Liq.

65

Ends em 2 meses

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Green wins ___ seats?

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Green wins ___ seats?

87%

500+

$4.6K Vol.

$50.0K Liq.

1

Ends em 9 dias

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Conservative wins ___ seats?

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Conservative wins ___ seats?

81%

300+

$1.4K Vol.

$55.5K Liq.

Ends em 9 dias

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Liberal Democrats wins ___ seats?

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Liberal Democrats wins ___ seats?

80%

600+

$13.8K Vol.

$50.1K Liq.

Ends em 9 dias

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Labour wins ___ seats?

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Labour wins ___ seats?

94%

300+

$19.9K Vol.

$49.8K Liq.

Ends em 9 dias

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Reform wins ___ seats?

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Reform wins ___ seats?

66%

1600+

$13.8K Vol.

$100K Liq.

3

Ends em 9 dias

Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

88%

$49.5K Vol.

$23.6K Liq.

4

Ends em 9 dias

Will Reform win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

Will Reform win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

8%

$1.9K Vol.

$24.4K Liq.

Ends em 9 dias

Colombia Election 1st Round: Margin of Victory?

Colombia Election 1st Round: Margin of Victory?

24%

Cepeda Castro 10-15%

$4.1K Vol.

$48.4K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?

Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?

71%

$3.4K Vol.

$21.1K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Assam Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Assam Legislative Assembly Election Winner

96%

BJP

$128K Vol.

$128K Liq.

3

Ends há 19 dias

Peru Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Peru Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

89%

Keiko Fujimori 5%+

$494K Vol.

$143K Liq.

10

Ends há 16 dias

Kerala Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Kerala Legislative Assembly Election Winner

55%

CPI(M)

$338K Vol.

$159K Liq.

120

Ends há 19 dias

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

93%

$2.3K Vol.

$21.5K Liq.

2

Ends em 6 meses

OR-06 House Election Winner

OR-06 House Election Winner

92%

Democratic Party

$15.9K Vol.

$78.4K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

CA-19 House Election Winner

CA-19 House Election Winner

95%

Democratic Party

$19.2K Vol.

$75.7K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

West Bengal Legislative Assembly Election Winner

West Bengal Legislative Assembly Election Winner

53%

BJP

$5M Vol.

$408K today

$221K Liq.

192

Ends em 1 dia

OR-02 House Election Winner

OR-02 House Election Winner

91%

Republican Party

$3.8K Vol.

$71.4K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 105 active markets for Promessas De Campanha that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Tucker Carlson announces a run for office by June 30?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $6.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “West Bengal Legislative Assembly Election Winner,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “West Bengal Legislative Assembly Election Winner,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 53% chance to BJP. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

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