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Reserva Federal previsões e probabilidades

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OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

2%

$110K Vol.

$11.7K Liq.

2

Ends em 14 dias

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

99%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$2M Vol.

$373K today

$57.9K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 22 horas

Fed abolished before 2027?

Fed abolished before 2027?

3%

$4.4K Vol.

$9.8K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

75%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$4.0K Vol.

$76.1K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

95%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$54.4K Vol.

$50.6K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

32%

December 31

$422K Vol.

$3.1K Liq.

22

Ends em 7 meses

Fed Decision in September?

Fed Decision in September?

74%

No change

$317K Vol.

$358K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

Fed Decision in July?

Fed Decision in July?

94%

No change

$10M Vol.

$174K today

$1M Liq.

1

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

39%

3.75%

$7M Vol.

$132K Liq.

5

Ends em 6 meses

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

26%

↓ 3.25%

$2M Vol.

$121K Liq.

10

Ends em 7 meses

US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?

US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?

12%

$17.0K Vol.

$2.3K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Fed Decision in June?

Fed Decision in June?

99%

No change

$116M Vol.

$16M today

$10M Liq.

1

Ends em cerca de 22 horas

Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?

Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?

1%

$564K Vol.

$120K today

$48.3K Liq.

4

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?

21%

December 31

$16.5K Vol.

$7.2K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

27%

$43.0K Vol.

$7.5K Liq.

1

Ends em 7 meses

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

8%

$106K Vol.

$2.4K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Fed rate hike by...?

Fed rate hike by...?

29%

October Meeting

$173K Vol.

$87.9K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

Fed rate cut by...?

Fed rate cut by...?

27%

December Meeting

$2M Vol.

$116K today

$182K Liq.

17

Ends em cerca de 22 horas

DOJ reopens Powell investigation by...?

DOJ reopens Powell investigation by...?

1%

June 30

$43.3K Vol.

$9.3K Liq.

Ends em 14 dias

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Fed rate hike in 2026?

36%

$2M Vol.

$147K today

$72.4K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Reserva Federal.

Polymarket currently hosts 104 active markets for Reserva Federal that lets you track or trade on predictions like “OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $142.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Fed Decision in June?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Fed Decision in June?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 99% chance to No change. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Reserva Federal predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.