Bulgaria's snap parliamentary elections on April 19—its eighth since 2021 amid chronic instability—feature proportional representation with a 4% national threshold for the 240-seat National Assembly. Recent polls, including Sova Harris (April 2-6) and CAM (April 3-14), project Progressive Bulgaria (led by former President Rumen Radev) dominating at 32-34%, followed by GERB-SDS (19-21%), PP-DB (11-12%), DPS (10%), Revival (7%), and BSP (4-4.5%), with five to six formations likely entering parliament. Caretaker PM Andrey Gyurov's vowed crackdown on vote-buying, bolstered by OSCE/ODIHR and PACE observers, addresses fraud risks highlighted in recent reporting, as three million voters could shape a fragmented outcome prone to coalition negotiations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$104,002 Объем

БСП
49%

МЕЧ
20%

Великое
10%

ИТН
2%

АПС
2%
$104,002 Объем

БСП
49%

МЕЧ
20%

Великое
10%

ИТН
2%

АПС
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Открытие рынка: Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Bulgaria's snap parliamentary elections on April 19—its eighth since 2021 amid chronic instability—feature proportional representation with a 4% national threshold for the 240-seat National Assembly. Recent polls, including Sova Harris (April 2-6) and CAM (April 3-14), project Progressive Bulgaria (led by former President Rumen Radev) dominating at 32-34%, followed by GERB-SDS (19-21%), PP-DB (11-12%), DPS (10%), Revival (7%), and BSP (4-4.5%), with five to six formations likely entering parliament. Caretaker PM Andrey Gyurov's vowed crackdown on vote-buying, bolstered by OSCE/ODIHR and PACE observers, addresses fraud risks highlighted in recent reporting, as three million voters could shape a fragmented outcome prone to coalition negotiations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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