President Donald Trump's Truth Social posting volume has averaged around 18 posts per day historically in 2025, implying roughly 126 weekly, but traders price 80-99 posts for April 7-14 at 47.5% implied probability, reflecting moderated activity amid de-escalation in Operation Epic Fury against Iran. His recent primetime address on April 2 declaring the military campaign nearing completion—following peaks exceeding 200 posts over nine days during escalation—signals reduced urgency for frequent updates, positioning lower ranges ahead of 100-119 at 30%. Ongoing diplomatic signals and potential executive orders could spur higher output, though recent weekly patterns favor the 80-99 consensus among prediction market participants.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено80-99 30%
100-119 27%
60-79 23%
120-139 19%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
14 апр. 2026 г.
<20
1%
20-39
1%
40-59
2%
60-79
23%
80-99
30%
100-119
27%
120-139
19%
140-159
7%
160-179
4%
180-199
3%
200+
1%
80-99 30%
100-119 27%
60-79 23%
120-139 19%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
14 апр. 2026 г.
<20
$712 Объем
1%
20-39
$30 Объем
1%
40-59
$202 Объем
2%
60-79
$0 Объем
23%
80-99
$22 Объем
30%
100-119
$0 Объем
27%
120-139
$0 Объем
19%
140-159
$0 Объем
7%
160-179
$0 Объем
4%
180-199
$0 Объем
3%
200+
$0 Объем
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 7, 12:00 PM ET and April 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.President Donald Trump's Truth Social posting volume has averaged around 18 posts per day historically in 2025, implying roughly 126 weekly, but traders price 80-99 posts for April 7-14 at 47.5% implied probability, reflecting moderated activity amid de-escalation in Operation Epic Fury against Iran. His recent primetime address on April 2 declaring the military campaign nearing completion—following peaks exceeding 200 posts over nine days during escalation—signals reduced urgency for frequent updates, positioning lower ranges ahead of 100-119 at 30%. Ongoing diplomatic signals and potential executive orders could spur higher output, though recent weekly patterns favor the 80-99 consensus among prediction market participants.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 7, 12:00 PM ET and April 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Apr 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Объем
$966Дата окончания
14 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 7, 12:00 PM ET and April 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.President Donald Trump's Truth Social posting volume has averaged around 18 posts per day historically in 2025, implying roughly 126 weekly, but traders price 80-99 posts for April 7-14 at 47.5% implied probability, reflecting moderated activity amid de-escalation in Operation Epic Fury against Iran. His recent primetime address on April 2 declaring the military campaign nearing completion—following peaks exceeding 200 posts over nine days during escalation—signals reduced urgency for frequent updates, positioning lower ranges ahead of 100-119 at 30%. Ongoing diplomatic signals and potential executive orders could spur higher output, though recent weekly patterns favor the 80-99 consensus among prediction market participants.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 7, 12:00 PM ET and April 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Объем
$966Дата окончания
14 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...President Donald Trump's Truth Social posting volume has averaged around 18 posts per day historically in 2025, implying roughly 126 weekly, but traders price 80-99 posts for April 7-14 at 47.5% implied probability, reflecting moderated activity amid de-escalation in Operation Epic Fury against Iran. His recent primetime address on April 2 declaring the military campaign nearing completion—following peaks exceeding 200 posts over nine days during escalation—signals reduced urgency for frequent updates, positioning lower ranges ahead of 100-119 at 30%. Ongoing diplomatic signals and potential executive orders could spur higher output, though recent weekly patterns favor the 80-99 consensus among prediction market participants.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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