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Highest temperature in Ankara on April 13?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Ankara on April 13?

12°C 41%

11°C 28%

13°C 16%

14°C 6.4%

Polymarket

$13,559 Объем

12°C 41%

11°C 28%

13°C 16%

14°C 6.4%

Polymarket

$13,559 Объем

9°C или ниже

$3,021 Объем

5%

10°C

$1,196 Объем

6%

11°C

$1,073 Объем

28%

12°C

$836 Объем

41%

13°C

$1,243 Объем

16%

14°C

$2,137 Объем

6%

15°C

$953 Объем

2%

16°C

$890 Объем

1%

17°C

$689 Объем

<1%

18°C

$491 Объем

<1%

19°C or higher

$1,030 Объем

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 42% implied probability for a 12°C high in Ankara on April 13, closely trailed by 11°C at 27% and 13°C at 16.5%, reflecting tight clustering in the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and international models, which project maximums of 11–13°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds. This positioning stems from a persistent early-April cold snap, with recent days recording highs near 9°C on April 8 and around 8–10°C on April 11 amid northerly cold air advection suppressing temperatures well below the mid-April climatological average of 16°C. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, signaling low uncertainty, though minor model shifts could occur with tomorrow's 12Z updates ahead of observed measurements at Esenboğa Airport.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$13,559
Дата окончания
13 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 9, 2026, 12:09 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 42% implied probability for a 12°C high in Ankara on April 13, closely trailed by 11°C at 27% and 13°C at 16.5%, reflecting tight clustering in the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and international models, which project maximums of 11–13°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds. This positioning stems from a persistent early-April cold snap, with recent days recording highs near 9°C on April 8 and around 8–10°C on April 11 amid northerly cold air advection suppressing temperatures well below the mid-April climatological average of 16°C. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, signaling low uncertainty, though minor model shifts could occur with tomorrow's 12Z updates ahead of observed measurements at Esenboğa Airport.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$13,559
Дата окончания
13 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 9, 2026, 12:09 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Highest temperature in Ankara on April 13?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «12°C» с 41%, за ним следует «11°C» с 28%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 41¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 41%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Highest temperature in Ankara on April 13?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $13.6K с момента запуска рынка Apr 9, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Highest temperature in Ankara on April 13?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Highest temperature in Ankara on April 13?» — «12°C» с 41%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 41%. Следующий ближайший исход — «11°C» с 28%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Highest temperature in Ankara on April 13?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.