Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated at 16:30 HKT on April 11, projects a daytime high of 26–29°C on April 12 under a southerly airstream, driving trader consensus toward 28°C at 47.5% implied probability, with 27°C and 29°C close behind. This warm flow from the South China Sea brings humid air and sunny intervals amid mainly cloudy skies and isolated showers, aligning with above-normal April temperatures forecasted for the season amid transitioning subtropical conditions. Historical April maxima average around 26°C, but recent days' readings of 25–28°C support the upper range; low odds for 30°C+ reflect limited intensification potential without stronger ridging. Updated observations and evening model runs could refine this before resolution on official station highs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Hong Kong on April 12?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 12?
28°C 47%
27°C 24.5%
29°C 16%
30°C or higher 5%
$33,535 Объем
$33,535 Объем
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
5%
27°C
25%
28°C
47%
29°C
16%
30°C or higher
5%
28°C 47%
27°C 24.5%
29°C 16%
30°C or higher 5%
$33,535 Объем
$33,535 Объем
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
5%
27°C
25%
28°C
47%
29°C
16%
30°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated at 16:30 HKT on April 11, projects a daytime high of 26–29°C on April 12 under a southerly airstream, driving trader consensus toward 28°C at 47.5% implied probability, with 27°C and 29°C close behind. This warm flow from the South China Sea brings humid air and sunny intervals amid mainly cloudy skies and isolated showers, aligning with above-normal April temperatures forecasted for the season amid transitioning subtropical conditions. Historical April maxima average around 26°C, but recent days' readings of 25–28°C support the upper range; low odds for 30°C+ reflect limited intensification potential without stronger ridging. Updated observations and evening model runs could refine this before resolution on official station highs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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