Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 18°C (33%) as Seoul's highest temperature on April 12, closely tracking the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast of a 18°C maximum at Incheon International Airport—the market's official resolution station—under mostly cloudy conditions with light winds. This positioning stems from recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs over the past 48 hours, which cluster outcomes around 17–20°C amid mild southerly flow fostering daytime warming after April 10's cooler 14°C high amid scattered rain. High uncertainty persists due to model divergence on cloud cover extent, which could suppress peaks below 17°C, or stronger advection pushing toward 20°C+; traders await KMA's final hourly updates and real-time observations tomorrow. Historical April highs average 17°C, contextualizing the tight distribution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сеуле 12 апреля?
Самая высокая температура в Сеуле 12 апреля?
18°C 32%
19°C 19%
17°C 14%
20°C 13%
$114,109 Объем
$114,109 Объем
14°C или ниже
2%
15°C
4%
16°C
9%
17°C
14%
18°C
32%
19°C
19%
20°C
13%
21°C
5%
22°C
5%
23°C
2%
24°C или выше
1%
18°C 32%
19°C 19%
17°C 14%
20°C 13%
$114,109 Объем
$114,109 Объем
14°C или ниже
2%
15°C
4%
16°C
9%
17°C
14%
18°C
32%
19°C
19%
20°C
13%
21°C
5%
22°C
5%
23°C
2%
24°C или выше
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 18°C (33%) as Seoul's highest temperature on April 12, closely tracking the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast of a 18°C maximum at Incheon International Airport—the market's official resolution station—under mostly cloudy conditions with light winds. This positioning stems from recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs over the past 48 hours, which cluster outcomes around 17–20°C amid mild southerly flow fostering daytime warming after April 10's cooler 14°C high amid scattered rain. High uncertainty persists due to model divergence on cloud cover extent, which could suppress peaks below 17°C, or stronger advection pushing toward 20°C+; traders await KMA's final hourly updates and real-time observations tomorrow. Historical April highs average 17°C, contextualizing the tight distribution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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