Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 20°C in Wellington on April 11, 2026, driven by MetService observations from Wellington International Airport confirming a midday peak of 20°C amid fine conditions with high cloud developing. Light northerly winds and increasing cloud cover have suppressed additional heating, aligning with NIWA and MetService model runs capping maxima around 20-22°C under typical autumnal solar angles and reduced insolation. Current late-afternoon readings near 19°C, with sunset approaching, leave negligible room for exceedance. Realistic challenges would require sudden clearing skies for a brief radiative surge or a measurement revision, both low-probability given prevailing atmospheric stability and historical April baselines averaging 18-19°C highs. Final observations expected by midnight local time.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Wellington on April 11?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 11?
20°C 100.0%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
23°C or higher <1%
$201,155 Объем
$201,155 Объем
11 апр. 2026 г.
20°C
100%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
20°C 100.0%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
23°C or higher <1%
$201,155 Объем
$201,155 Объем
11 апр. 2026 г.
20°C
$20,705 Объем
100%
21°C
$17,640 Объем
<1%
22°C
$14,658 Объем
<1%
23°C or higher
$17,591 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 20°C in Wellington on April 11, 2026, driven by MetService observations from Wellington International Airport confirming a midday peak of 20°C amid fine conditions with high cloud developing. Light northerly winds and increasing cloud cover have suppressed additional heating, aligning with NIWA and MetService model runs capping maxima around 20-22°C under typical autumnal solar angles and reduced insolation. Current late-afternoon readings near 19°C, with sunset approaching, leave negligible room for exceedance. Realistic challenges would require sudden clearing skies for a brief radiative surge or a measurement revision, both low-probability given prevailing atmospheric stability and historical April baselines averaging 18-19°C highs. Final observations expected by midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 7, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Объем
$201,155Дата окончания
11 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 7, 2026, 12:32 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 20°C in Wellington on April 11, 2026, driven by MetService observations from Wellington International Airport confirming a midday peak of 20°C amid fine conditions with high cloud developing. Light northerly winds and increasing cloud cover have suppressed additional heating, aligning with NIWA and MetService model runs capping maxima around 20-22°C under typical autumnal solar angles and reduced insolation. Current late-afternoon readings near 19°C, with sunset approaching, leave negligible room for exceedance. Realistic challenges would require sudden clearing skies for a brief radiative surge or a measurement revision, both low-probability given prevailing atmospheric stability and historical April baselines averaging 18-19°C highs. Final observations expected by midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$201,155Дата окончания
11 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 7, 2026, 12:32 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 20°C in Wellington on April 11, 2026, driven by MetService observations from Wellington International Airport confirming a midday peak of 20°C amid fine conditions with high cloud developing. Light northerly winds and increasing cloud cover have suppressed additional heating, aligning with NIWA and MetService model runs capping maxima around 20-22°C under typical autumnal solar angles and reduced insolation. Current late-afternoon readings near 19°C, with sunset approaching, leave negligible room for exceedance. Realistic challenges would require sudden clearing skies for a brief radiative surge or a measurement revision, both low-probability given prevailing atmospheric stability and historical April baselines averaging 18-19°C highs. Final observations expected by midnight local time.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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