Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 22°C in Tel Aviv on April 11, with market-implied odds at 99.5%, driven by the latest Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) guidance alongside converged global forecast models including ECMWF and GFS ensembles projecting peak highs of 21-22°C at Ben Gurion International Airport, the market's NOAA resolution station. Current observations show mid-afternoon temperatures around 20-21°C under partly cloudy skies with moderate westerly winds (15-18 km/h), aligning with limited insolation and typical springtime coastal cooling patterns that cap early April highs near climatological averages of 22°C. Realistic challenges include increased low-level clouds or gusts suppressing the peak to 21°C, or prolonged sunshine pushing it to 23°C, though model agreement minimizes these risks ahead of evening cooldown. Final NOAA hourly data will confirm resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 11?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 11?
22°C 99.5%
23°C <1%
24°C or higher <1%
21°C <1%
$134,885 Объем
$134,885 Объем
11 апр. 2026 г.
21°C
<1%
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
22°C 99.5%
23°C <1%
24°C or higher <1%
21°C <1%
$134,885 Объем
$134,885 Объем
11 апр. 2026 г.
21°C
$23,466 Объем
<1%
22°C
$12,308 Объем
100%
23°C
$6,759 Объем
<1%
24°C or higher
$8,720 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 22°C in Tel Aviv on April 11, with market-implied odds at 99.5%, driven by the latest Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) guidance alongside converged global forecast models including ECMWF and GFS ensembles projecting peak highs of 21-22°C at Ben Gurion International Airport, the market's NOAA resolution station. Current observations show mid-afternoon temperatures around 20-21°C under partly cloudy skies with moderate westerly winds (15-18 km/h), aligning with limited insolation and typical springtime coastal cooling patterns that cap early April highs near climatological averages of 22°C. Realistic challenges include increased low-level clouds or gusts suppressing the peak to 21°C, or prolonged sunshine pushing it to 23°C, though model agreement minimizes these risks ahead of evening cooldown. Final NOAA hourly data will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 7, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Объем
$134,885Дата окончания
11 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 7, 2026, 12:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Окно спора
Окончательный
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 22°C in Tel Aviv on April 11, with market-implied odds at 99.5%, driven by the latest Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) guidance alongside converged global forecast models including ECMWF and GFS ensembles projecting peak highs of 21-22°C at Ben Gurion International Airport, the market's NOAA resolution station. Current observations show mid-afternoon temperatures around 20-21°C under partly cloudy skies with moderate westerly winds (15-18 km/h), aligning with limited insolation and typical springtime coastal cooling patterns that cap early April highs near climatological averages of 22°C. Realistic challenges include increased low-level clouds or gusts suppressing the peak to 21°C, or prolonged sunshine pushing it to 23°C, though model agreement minimizes these risks ahead of evening cooldown. Final NOAA hourly data will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$134,885Дата окончания
11 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 7, 2026, 12:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Окно спора
Окончательный
Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 22°C in Tel Aviv on April 11, with market-implied odds at 99.5%, driven by the latest Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) guidance alongside converged global forecast models including ECMWF and GFS ensembles projecting peak highs of 21-22°C at Ben Gurion International Airport, the market's NOAA resolution station. Current observations show mid-afternoon temperatures around 20-21°C under partly cloudy skies with moderate westerly winds (15-18 km/h), aligning with limited insolation and typical springtime coastal cooling patterns that cap early April highs near climatological averages of 22°C. Realistic challenges include increased low-level clouds or gusts suppressing the peak to 21°C, or prolonged sunshine pushing it to 23°C, though model agreement minimizes these risks ahead of evening cooldown. Final NOAA hourly data will confirm resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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