**Latest guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) and global forecast models including ECMWF and GFS has solidified trader consensus around a daytime high of 22°C in Tel Aviv on April 12, positioning it at 49.5% market-implied probability, with 21°C close behind at 34.5%.** This reflects a stable upper-level ridge promoting mostly sunny skies, light sea breezes moderating coastal temperatures, and minimal cloud cover, consistent with recent observations where April 11 highs aligned near 22°C per yesterday's resolved market. Seasonal climatology supports averages of 22–24°C for mid-April, but current cooler air mass advection has capped extremes, lowering odds for 23°C or higher to 7.5%. Inherent short-range forecast uncertainty persists due to potential micro-scale variations in humidity and wind shear; watch IMS hourly updates and Ben Gurion Airport observations for resolution. (112 words)
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 12?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 12?
22°C 50%
21°C 32%
20°C 11.8%
23°C or higher 8%
$20,380 Объем
$20,380 Объем
12 апр. 2026 г.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
12%
21°C
32%
22°C
50%
23°C or higher
8%
22°C 50%
21°C 32%
20°C 11.8%
23°C or higher 8%
$20,380 Объем
$20,380 Объем
12 апр. 2026 г.
13°C or below
$941 Объем
<1%
14°C
$2,760 Объем
<1%
15°C
$737 Объем
<1%
16°C
$873 Объем
<1%
17°C
$1,018 Объем
1%
18°C
$2,036 Объем
1%
19°C
$2,544 Объем
1%
20°C
$1,528 Объем
12%
21°C
$1,500 Объем
32%
22°C
$1,850 Объем
50%
23°C or higher
$4,711 Объем
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Latest guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) and global forecast models including ECMWF and GFS has solidified trader consensus around a daytime high of 22°C in Tel Aviv on April 12, positioning it at 49.5% market-implied probability, with 21°C close behind at 34.5%.** This reflects a stable upper-level ridge promoting mostly sunny skies, light sea breezes moderating coastal temperatures, and minimal cloud cover, consistent with recent observations where April 11 highs aligned near 22°C per yesterday's resolved market. Seasonal climatology supports averages of 22–24°C for mid-April, but current cooler air mass advection has capped extremes, lowering odds for 23°C or higher to 7.5%. Inherent short-range forecast uncertainty persists due to potential micro-scale variations in humidity and wind shear; watch IMS hourly updates and Ben Gurion Airport observations for resolution. (112 words)
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 8, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Объем
$20,380Дата окончания
12 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 8, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Latest guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) and global forecast models including ECMWF and GFS has solidified trader consensus around a daytime high of 22°C in Tel Aviv on April 12, positioning it at 49.5% market-implied probability, with 21°C close behind at 34.5%.** This reflects a stable upper-level ridge promoting mostly sunny skies, light sea breezes moderating coastal temperatures, and minimal cloud cover, consistent with recent observations where April 11 highs aligned near 22°C per yesterday's resolved market. Seasonal climatology supports averages of 22–24°C for mid-April, but current cooler air mass advection has capped extremes, lowering odds for 23°C or higher to 7.5%. Inherent short-range forecast uncertainty persists due to potential micro-scale variations in humidity and wind shear; watch IMS hourly updates and Ben Gurion Airport observations for resolution. (112 words)
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$20,380Дата окончания
12 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 8, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Latest guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) and global forecast models including ECMWF and GFS has solidified trader consensus around a daytime high of 22°C in Tel Aviv on April 12, positioning it at 49.5% market-implied probability, with 21°C close behind at 34.5%.** This reflects a stable upper-level ridge promoting mostly sunny skies, light sea breezes moderating coastal temperatures, and minimal cloud cover, consistent with recent observations where April 11 highs aligned near 22°C per yesterday's resolved market. Seasonal climatology supports averages of 22–24°C for mid-April, but current cooler air mass advection has capped extremes, lowering odds for 23°C or higher to 7.5%. Inherent short-range forecast uncertainty persists due to potential micro-scale variations in humidity and wind shear; watch IMS hourly updates and Ben Gurion Airport observations for resolution. (112 words)
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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