Latest Israel Meteorological Service guidance and global forecast model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS project Tel Aviv's April 13 high temperature clustering around 22-23°C, fueling trader consensus with those outcomes leading at 37.5% and 28.0% implied probabilities amid short-range uncertainty typical of coastal Mediterranean spring weather. Differentiating factors include model disagreements on sea breeze strength, which could suppress peaks to 22°C via enhanced onshore flow and low-level moisture, versus slightly warmer 23°C under reduced cloud cover and subtle ridging aloft. Recent days featured cooler-than-climatological highs near 17°C due to passing disturbances, but a mild warming trend persists without extreme signals. New 00Z/12Z model runs and IMS updates tomorrow will likely refine odds as resolution nears.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 13?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 13?
23°C 40%
22°C 25%
24°C 18%
21°C 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
13 апр. 2026 г.
17°C or below
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
5%
21°C
12%
22°C
25%
23°C
40%
24°C
18%
25°C
6%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
2%
23°C 40%
22°C 25%
24°C 18%
21°C 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
13 апр. 2026 г.
17°C or below
$217 Объем
1%
18°C
$217 Объем
1%
19°C
$636 Объем
3%
20°C
$130 Объем
5%
21°C
$37 Объем
12%
22°C
$156 Объем
25%
23°C
$181 Объем
40%
24°C
$183 Объем
18%
25°C
$484 Объем
6%
26°C
$355 Объем
2%
27°C or higher
$109 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Israel Meteorological Service guidance and global forecast model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS project Tel Aviv's April 13 high temperature clustering around 22-23°C, fueling trader consensus with those outcomes leading at 37.5% and 28.0% implied probabilities amid short-range uncertainty typical of coastal Mediterranean spring weather. Differentiating factors include model disagreements on sea breeze strength, which could suppress peaks to 22°C via enhanced onshore flow and low-level moisture, versus slightly warmer 23°C under reduced cloud cover and subtle ridging aloft. Recent days featured cooler-than-climatological highs near 17°C due to passing disturbances, but a mild warming trend persists without extreme signals. New 00Z/12Z model runs and IMS updates tomorrow will likely refine odds as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 9, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Объем
$2,706Дата окончания
13 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 9, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Israel Meteorological Service guidance and global forecast model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS project Tel Aviv's April 13 high temperature clustering around 22-23°C, fueling trader consensus with those outcomes leading at 37.5% and 28.0% implied probabilities amid short-range uncertainty typical of coastal Mediterranean spring weather. Differentiating factors include model disagreements on sea breeze strength, which could suppress peaks to 22°C via enhanced onshore flow and low-level moisture, versus slightly warmer 23°C under reduced cloud cover and subtle ridging aloft. Recent days featured cooler-than-climatological highs near 17°C due to passing disturbances, but a mild warming trend persists without extreme signals. New 00Z/12Z model runs and IMS updates tomorrow will likely refine odds as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$2,706Дата окончания
13 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 9, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Israel Meteorological Service guidance and global forecast model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS project Tel Aviv's April 13 high temperature clustering around 22-23°C, fueling trader consensus with those outcomes leading at 37.5% and 28.0% implied probabilities amid short-range uncertainty typical of coastal Mediterranean spring weather. Differentiating factors include model disagreements on sea breeze strength, which could suppress peaks to 22°C via enhanced onshore flow and low-level moisture, versus slightly warmer 23°C under reduced cloud cover and subtle ridging aloft. Recent days featured cooler-than-climatological highs near 17°C due to passing disturbances, but a mild warming trend persists without extreme signals. New 00Z/12Z model runs and IMS updates tomorrow will likely refine odds as resolution nears.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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