National Weather Service point forecasts and NOAA ensemble model consensus from GFS and ECMWF project Chicago O'Hare highs of 52-58°F on April 11 under mostly sunny skies and light east-northeast winds around 5-10 mph, driving the 99.8% market-implied probability for 46°F or higher as traders price in high-confidence agreement with April climatological normals near 57°F. This positioning reflects recent 24-hour forecast updates showing no disruptive cold fronts or heavy cloud cover, with current morning temperatures already climbing into the 40s°F. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen northerly wind shift, sudden showers, or enhanced cloudiness capping peak heating, though model runs indicate low risk; intraday NWS observations will provide final clarity by sunset.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чикаго 11 апреля?
Самая высокая температура в Чикаго 11 апреля?
46°F или выше 99.8%
44-45°F <1%
42-43°F <1%
38-39°F <1%
$111,749 Объем
$111,749 Объем
38-39°F
<1%
40-41°F
<1%
42-43°F
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46°F или выше
100%
46°F или выше 99.8%
44-45°F <1%
42-43°F <1%
38-39°F <1%
$111,749 Объем
$111,749 Объем
38-39°F
<1%
40-41°F
<1%
42-43°F
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46°F или выше
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 7, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service point forecasts and NOAA ensemble model consensus from GFS and ECMWF project Chicago O'Hare highs of 52-58°F on April 11 under mostly sunny skies and light east-northeast winds around 5-10 mph, driving the 99.8% market-implied probability for 46°F or higher as traders price in high-confidence agreement with April climatological normals near 57°F. This positioning reflects recent 24-hour forecast updates showing no disruptive cold fronts or heavy cloud cover, with current morning temperatures already climbing into the 40s°F. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen northerly wind shift, sudden showers, or enhanced cloudiness capping peak heating, though model runs indicate low risk; intraday NWS observations will provide final clarity by sunset.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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