Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 28°C as Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 11, 2026, with near-100% implied probability, backed by observational data from local weather stations like Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport showing the daily peak reached exactly 28°C amid persistent cloud cover and high humidity. Updated hourly reports through late afternoon confirm this maximum, as southerly winds and partly cloudy skies limited solar heating despite typical April climatological highs around 27–29°C in the Pearl River Delta region. Forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and Weather.com initially projected 29°C but adjusted downward with real-time data. Realistic challenges would require a rare post-daylight data revision by the China Meteorological Administration, though sunset at approximately 6:40 PM CST has passed, solidifying the record.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Shenzhen on April 11?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 11?
28°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$161,729 Объем
$161,729 Объем
11 апр. 2026 г.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$161,729 Объем
$161,729 Объем
11 апр. 2026 г.
22°C or below
$968 Объем
No
23°C
$3,347 Объем
No
24°C
$2,776 Объем
No
25°C
$7,823 Объем
No
26°C
$14,200 Объем
No
27°C
$47,662 Объем
No
28°C
$38,163 Объем
Yes
29°C
$8,908 Объем
No
30°C
$7,742 Объем
No
31°C
$14,867 Объем
No
32°C or higher
$15,272 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 28°C as Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 11, 2026, with near-100% implied probability, backed by observational data from local weather stations like Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport showing the daily peak reached exactly 28°C amid persistent cloud cover and high humidity. Updated hourly reports through late afternoon confirm this maximum, as southerly winds and partly cloudy skies limited solar heating despite typical April climatological highs around 27–29°C in the Pearl River Delta region. Forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and Weather.com initially projected 29°C but adjusted downward with real-time data. Realistic challenges would require a rare post-daylight data revision by the China Meteorological Administration, though sunset at approximately 6:40 PM CST has passed, solidifying the record.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 7, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Объем
$161,729Дата окончания
11 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 7, 2026, 12:32 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 28°C as Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 11, 2026, with near-100% implied probability, backed by observational data from local weather stations like Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport showing the daily peak reached exactly 28°C amid persistent cloud cover and high humidity. Updated hourly reports through late afternoon confirm this maximum, as southerly winds and partly cloudy skies limited solar heating despite typical April climatological highs around 27–29°C in the Pearl River Delta region. Forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and Weather.com initially projected 29°C but adjusted downward with real-time data. Realistic challenges would require a rare post-daylight data revision by the China Meteorological Administration, though sunset at approximately 6:40 PM CST has passed, solidifying the record.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$161,729Дата окончания
11 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 7, 2026, 12:32 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 28°C as Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 11, 2026, with near-100% implied probability, backed by observational data from local weather stations like Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport showing the daily peak reached exactly 28°C amid persistent cloud cover and high humidity. Updated hourly reports through late afternoon confirm this maximum, as southerly winds and partly cloudy skies limited solar heating despite typical April climatological highs around 27–29°C in the Pearl River Delta region. Forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and Weather.com initially projected 29°C but adjusted downward with real-time data. Realistic challenges would require a rare post-daylight data revision by the China Meteorological Administration, though sunset at approximately 6:40 PM CST has passed, solidifying the record.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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