Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 54-55°F (99.7% implied probability) for Seattle's highest temperature on April 11, backed by official National Weather Service observations at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), where verified hourly METAR reports peaked in this range amid persistent marine layer clouds and onshore flow. After an early-April warm spell with highs near 70°F driven by a temporary high-pressure ridge, NOAA ensemble forecast models accurately anticipated the cooldown from Pacific cool air advection, light winds, and overcast skies suppressing daytime heating. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-April, where average highs hover around 58°F but marine influences often cap temperatures in the low-to-mid 50s. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare data revision from quality control or unverified station anomaly could shift resolution, as NWS preliminary records show high confidence.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Seattle on April 11?
Highest temperature in Seattle on April 11?
54-55°F 99.6%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$233,177 Объем
$233,177 Объем
11 апр. 2026 г.
54-55°F
100%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72°F or higher
<1%
54-55°F 99.6%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$233,177 Объем
$233,177 Объем
11 апр. 2026 г.
54-55°F
$18,965 Объем
100%
56-57°F
$18,691 Объем
<1%
58-59°F
$20,603 Объем
<1%
60-61°F
$11,691 Объем
<1%
62-63°F
$4,258 Объем
<1%
64-65°F
$5,824 Объем
<1%
66-67°F
$19,966 Объем
<1%
68-69°F
$10,184 Объем
<1%
70-71°F
$7,055 Объем
<1%
72°F or higher
$5,017 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 54-55°F (99.7% implied probability) for Seattle's highest temperature on April 11, backed by official National Weather Service observations at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), where verified hourly METAR reports peaked in this range amid persistent marine layer clouds and onshore flow. After an early-April warm spell with highs near 70°F driven by a temporary high-pressure ridge, NOAA ensemble forecast models accurately anticipated the cooldown from Pacific cool air advection, light winds, and overcast skies suppressing daytime heating. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-April, where average highs hover around 58°F but marine influences often cap temperatures in the low-to-mid 50s. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare data revision from quality control or unverified station anomaly could shift resolution, as NWS preliminary records show high confidence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 7, 2026, 12:37 AM ET
Объем
$233,177Дата окончания
11 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 7, 2026, 12:37 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 54-55°F (99.7% implied probability) for Seattle's highest temperature on April 11, backed by official National Weather Service observations at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), where verified hourly METAR reports peaked in this range amid persistent marine layer clouds and onshore flow. After an early-April warm spell with highs near 70°F driven by a temporary high-pressure ridge, NOAA ensemble forecast models accurately anticipated the cooldown from Pacific cool air advection, light winds, and overcast skies suppressing daytime heating. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-April, where average highs hover around 58°F but marine influences often cap temperatures in the low-to-mid 50s. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare data revision from quality control or unverified station anomaly could shift resolution, as NWS preliminary records show high confidence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$233,177Дата окончания
11 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 7, 2026, 12:37 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 54-55°F (99.7% implied probability) for Seattle's highest temperature on April 11, backed by official National Weather Service observations at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), where verified hourly METAR reports peaked in this range amid persistent marine layer clouds and onshore flow. After an early-April warm spell with highs near 70°F driven by a temporary high-pressure ridge, NOAA ensemble forecast models accurately anticipated the cooldown from Pacific cool air advection, light winds, and overcast skies suppressing daytime heating. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-April, where average highs hover around 58°F but marine influences often cap temperatures in the low-to-mid 50s. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare data revision from quality control or unverified station anomaly could shift resolution, as NWS preliminary records show high confidence.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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