**Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and international models like GFS and ECMWF project Shanghai's highest temperature on April 12 at 16-17°C, supporting the market's 90.9% implied probability for 17°C or below.** Persistent cloud cover and morning showers from a lingering cold frontal system limit solar heating, with early observations around 14-16°C and light rain aligning with this outlook. April climatology shows average highs of 18-20°C, but today's synoptic pattern—cool air mass advection and high humidity—mirrors historical cool spells. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing for brief solar insolation spikes to 18°C, though model ensembles show low likelihood; official Xujiahui station data will resolve by evening.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Shanghai on April 12?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 12?
17°C or below 92.1%
18°C 6%
19°C 1.1%
20°C <1%
$82,652 Объем
$82,652 Объем
17°C or below
92%
18°C
6%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
17°C or below 92.1%
18°C 6%
19°C 1.1%
20°C <1%
$82,652 Объем
$82,652 Объем
17°C or below
92%
18°C
6%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 8, 2026, 12:38 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and international models like GFS and ECMWF project Shanghai's highest temperature on April 12 at 16-17°C, supporting the market's 90.9% implied probability for 17°C or below.** Persistent cloud cover and morning showers from a lingering cold frontal system limit solar heating, with early observations around 14-16°C and light rain aligning with this outlook. April climatology shows average highs of 18-20°C, but today's synoptic pattern—cool air mass advection and high humidity—mirrors historical cool spells. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing for brief solar insolation spikes to 18°C, though model ensembles show low likelihood; official Xujiahui station data will resolve by evening.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы