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Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 12?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 12?

апр. 12

апр. 13

апр. 12

апр. 13

17°C or below 92.1%

18°C 6%

19°C 1.1%

20°C <1%

Polymarket

$82,652 Объем

17°C or below 92.1%

18°C 6%

19°C 1.1%

20°C <1%

Polymarket

$82,652 Объем

17°C or below

$14,884 Объем

92%

18°C

$8,253 Объем

6%

19°C

$10,851 Объем

1%

20°C

$6,609 Объем

1%

21°C

$5,544 Объем

<1%

22°C

$6,126 Объем

<1%

23°C

$7,423 Объем

<1%

24°C

$8,905 Объем

<1%

25°C

$2,966 Объем

<1%

26°C

$4,633 Объем

<1%

27°C or higher

$6,495 Объем

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and international models like GFS and ECMWF project Shanghai's highest temperature on April 12 at 16-17°C, supporting the market's 90.9% implied probability for 17°C or below.** Persistent cloud cover and morning showers from a lingering cold frontal system limit solar heating, with early observations around 14-16°C and light rain aligning with this outlook. April climatology shows average highs of 18-20°C, but today's synoptic pattern—cool air mass advection and high humidity—mirrors historical cool spells. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing for brief solar insolation spikes to 18°C, though model ensembles show low likelihood; official Xujiahui station data will resolve by evening.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$82,652
Дата окончания
12 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 8, 2026, 12:38 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and international models like GFS and ECMWF project Shanghai's highest temperature on April 12 at 16-17°C, supporting the market's 90.9% implied probability for 17°C or below.** Persistent cloud cover and morning showers from a lingering cold frontal system limit solar heating, with early observations around 14-16°C and light rain aligning with this outlook. April climatology shows average highs of 18-20°C, but today's synoptic pattern—cool air mass advection and high humidity—mirrors historical cool spells. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing for brief solar insolation spikes to 18°C, though model ensembles show low likelihood; official Xujiahui station data will resolve by evening.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$82,652
Дата окончания
12 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 8, 2026, 12:38 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 12?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «17°C or below» с 92%, за ним следует «18°C» с 6%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 92¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 92%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 12?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $82.7K с момента запуска рынка Apr 8, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 12?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 12?» — «17°C or below» с 92%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 92%. Следующий ближайший исход — «18°C» с 6%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 12?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.