Market icon

Highest temperature in NYC on April 12?

Market icon

Highest temperature in NYC on April 12?

апр. 11

апр. 12

апр. 13

апр. 11

апр. 12

апр. 13

54-55°F 40%

56-57°F 28%

52-53°F 19.1%

58-59°F 8%

Polymarket

$24,544 Объем

54-55°F 40%

56-57°F 28%

52-53°F 19.1%

58-59°F 8%

Polymarket

$24,544 Объем

47°F or below

$2,964 Объем

1%

48-49°F

$1,348 Объем

1%

50-51°F

$1,722 Объем

4%

52-53°F

$1,440 Объем

19%

54-55°F

$1,946 Объем

40%

56-57°F

$1,520 Объем

28%

58-59°F

$1,877 Объем

8%

60-61°F

$4,903 Объем

3%

62-63°F

$1,749 Объем

1%

64-65°F

$1,563 Объем

1%

66°F or higher

$3,616 Объем

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance for New York City forecasts a high near 54°F on April 12 under mostly sunny skies with northeast winds of 5-13 mph, driving trader consensus toward the 54-55°F (37%) and 56-57°F (24%) outcomes at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA), the market's resolution station. This positioning reflects model consensus from recent GFS and ECMWF runs projecting peaks in the mid-50s°F amid a cool upper-air mass around 15°C at 850 mb and a chilly morning start near 38°F, limiting convective heating despite light winds and clear conditions. Slightly below April normals of ~60°F, probabilities account for minor uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing or stray clouds capping peaks, with final observations resolving the market tomorrow.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$24,544
Дата окончания
12 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance for New York City forecasts a high near 54°F on April 12 under mostly sunny skies with northeast winds of 5-13 mph, driving trader consensus toward the 54-55°F (37%) and 56-57°F (24%) outcomes at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA), the market's resolution station. This positioning reflects model consensus from recent GFS and ECMWF runs projecting peaks in the mid-50s°F amid a cool upper-air mass around 15°C at 850 mb and a chilly morning start near 38°F, limiting convective heating despite light winds and clear conditions. Slightly below April normals of ~60°F, probabilities account for minor uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing or stray clouds capping peaks, with final observations resolving the market tomorrow.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$24,544
Дата окончания
12 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Highest temperature in NYC on April 12?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «54-55°F» с 40%, за ним следует «56-57°F» с 28%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 40¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 40%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Highest temperature in NYC on April 12?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $24.5K с момента запуска рынка Apr 8, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Highest temperature in NYC on April 12?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Highest temperature in NYC on April 12?» — «54-55°F» с 40%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 40%. Следующий ближайший исход — «56-57°F» с 28%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Highest temperature in NYC on April 12?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.