Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 18–20°C for Beijing's highest temperature on April 13, mirroring the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble means of 20–22°C, with a 2–3°C spread driven by uncertain cloud cover under a developing high-pressure ridge. Recent observations show highs of 24–25°C on April 10–11 amid fine skies, but forecasts indicate slight cooling from easterly winds and partly cloudy conditions, potentially capping peaks. Historical April averages hover near 20°C at the official Beijing Capital International Airport station, where urban heat island effects amplify readings. Key differentiators include cloud fraction impacting solar insolation and boundary layer mixing; new 00Z model runs overnight could sharpen odds before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Beijing on April 13?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 13?
19°C 24%
18°C 23%
20°C 20%
21°C 13%
$10,611 Объем
$10,611 Объем
13 апр. 2026 г.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
3%
17°C
3%
18°C
23%
19°C
24%
20°C
20%
21°C
13%
22°C
5%
23°C or higher
3%
19°C 24%
18°C 23%
20°C 20%
21°C 13%
$10,611 Объем
$10,611 Объем
13 апр. 2026 г.
13°C or below
$2,294 Объем
<1%
14°C
$1,519 Объем
1%
15°C
$1,705 Объем
<1%
16°C
$1,898 Объем
3%
17°C
$399 Объем
3%
18°C
$404 Объем
23%
19°C
$259 Объем
24%
20°C
$376 Объем
20%
21°C
$206 Объем
13%
22°C
$511 Объем
5%
23°C or higher
$1,045 Объем
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 18–20°C for Beijing's highest temperature on April 13, mirroring the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble means of 20–22°C, with a 2–3°C spread driven by uncertain cloud cover under a developing high-pressure ridge. Recent observations show highs of 24–25°C on April 10–11 amid fine skies, but forecasts indicate slight cooling from easterly winds and partly cloudy conditions, potentially capping peaks. Historical April averages hover near 20°C at the official Beijing Capital International Airport station, where urban heat island effects amplify readings. Key differentiators include cloud fraction impacting solar insolation and boundary layer mixing; new 00Z model runs overnight could sharpen odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 9, 2026, 12:43 AM ET
Объем
$10,611Дата окончания
13 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 9, 2026, 12:43 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 18–20°C for Beijing's highest temperature on April 13, mirroring the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble means of 20–22°C, with a 2–3°C spread driven by uncertain cloud cover under a developing high-pressure ridge. Recent observations show highs of 24–25°C on April 10–11 amid fine skies, but forecasts indicate slight cooling from easterly winds and partly cloudy conditions, potentially capping peaks. Historical April averages hover near 20°C at the official Beijing Capital International Airport station, where urban heat island effects amplify readings. Key differentiators include cloud fraction impacting solar insolation and boundary layer mixing; new 00Z model runs overnight could sharpen odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$10,611Дата окончания
13 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 9, 2026, 12:43 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 18–20°C for Beijing's highest temperature on April 13, mirroring the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble means of 20–22°C, with a 2–3°C spread driven by uncertain cloud cover under a developing high-pressure ridge. Recent observations show highs of 24–25°C on April 10–11 amid fine skies, but forecasts indicate slight cooling from easterly winds and partly cloudy conditions, potentially capping peaks. Historical April averages hover near 20°C at the official Beijing Capital International Airport station, where urban heat island effects amplify readings. Key differentiators include cloud fraction impacting solar insolation and boundary layer mixing; new 00Z model runs overnight could sharpen odds before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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