Hong Kong Observatory's latest forecast as of April 11 projects a daytime high of 28–29°C on April 13 under a persistent southerly airstream supplying warm, humid air, positioning 29°C as the market-implied frontrunner at 46% trader consensus. This aligns with the seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures in April 2026, amid a year projected among Hong Kong's hottest on record, where recent days have averaged above the 25–26°C April climatological high. Multi-model consensus shows low chances of significant cloudiness or showers capping peaks at 28°C (26.5%), while sunnier breaks could elevate to 30°C (20.5%). Updated guidance expected early April 12 may refine intensification potential based on evolving upper-air patterns.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Hong Kong on April 13?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 13?
29°C 37%
28°C 28%
30°C 20%
27°C 11.3%
$14,921 Объем
$14,921 Объем
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
11%
28°C
28%
29°C
37%
30°C
20%
31°C or higher
7%
29°C 37%
28°C 28%
30°C 20%
27°C 11.3%
$14,921 Объем
$14,921 Объем
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
11%
28°C
28%
29°C
37%
30°C
20%
31°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 9, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory's latest forecast as of April 11 projects a daytime high of 28–29°C on April 13 under a persistent southerly airstream supplying warm, humid air, positioning 29°C as the market-implied frontrunner at 46% trader consensus. This aligns with the seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures in April 2026, amid a year projected among Hong Kong's hottest on record, where recent days have averaged above the 25–26°C April climatological high. Multi-model consensus shows low chances of significant cloudiness or showers capping peaks at 28°C (26.5%), while sunnier breaks could elevate to 30°C (20.5%). Updated guidance expected early April 12 may refine intensification potential based on evolving upper-air patterns.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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