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Highest temperature in Denver on April 11?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Denver on April 11?

60°F or higher 99.7%

58-59°F <1%

41°F or below <1%

42-43°F <1%

Polymarket

$133,253 Объем

60°F or higher 99.7%

58-59°F <1%

41°F or below <1%

42-43°F <1%

Polymarket

$133,253 Объем

41°F or below

$1,140 Объем

<1%

42-43°F

$1,034 Объем

<1%

44-45°F

$1,299 Объем

<1%

46-47°F

$1,510 Объем

<1%

48-49°F

$1,511 Объем

<1%

50-51°F

$5,726 Объем

<1%

52-53°F

$1,499 Объем

<1%

54-55°F

$3,693 Объем

<1%

56-57°F

$3,775 Объем

<1%

58-59°F

$9,916 Объем

<1%

60°F or higher

$102,156 Объем

100%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 60°F or higher (99.7% implied probability) for Denver's highest temperature on April 11, driven by National Weather Service forecasts projecting highs of 66–76°F amid persistent sunny skies and light southwest winds.** This positioning reflects a strong upper-level ridge over the central Rockies promoting downslope flow and adiabatic warming on the Front Range, with model ensembles from NOAA's Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts showing tight agreement on above-normal temperatures—exceeding the April 11 climatological normal of 61°F. Recent days featured record or near-record warmth, reinforcing the pattern. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen influx of mid-level clouds or a premature cold front shift, though steering currents suggest low likelihood before evening; final observations from Denver International Airport will resolve by midnight local time.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$133,253
Дата окончания
11 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 7, 2026, 1:14 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 60°F or higher (99.7% implied probability) for Denver's highest temperature on April 11, driven by National Weather Service forecasts projecting highs of 66–76°F amid persistent sunny skies and light southwest winds.** This positioning reflects a strong upper-level ridge over the central Rockies promoting downslope flow and adiabatic warming on the Front Range, with model ensembles from NOAA's Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts showing tight agreement on above-normal temperatures—exceeding the April 11 climatological normal of 61°F. Recent days featured record or near-record warmth, reinforcing the pattern. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen influx of mid-level clouds or a premature cold front shift, though steering currents suggest low likelihood before evening; final observations from Denver International Airport will resolve by midnight local time.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$133,253
Дата окончания
11 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 7, 2026, 1:14 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Highest temperature in Denver on April 11?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «60°F or higher» с 100%, за ним следует «41°F or below» с 0%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 100¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Highest temperature in Denver on April 11?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $133.3K с момента запуска рынка Apr 7, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Highest temperature in Denver on April 11?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Highest temperature in Denver on April 11?» — «60°F or higher» с 100%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Следующий ближайший исход — «41°F or below» с 0%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Highest temperature in Denver on April 11?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.