Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 58-59°F at 100% implied probability for New York City's highest temperature on April 10, 2026, driven by official observational data from the LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) station via Weather Underground, which recorded a daily maximum in that range from automated ASOS measurements. This aligns with National Weather Service summaries indicating mild, overcast conditions with light southerly winds and temperatures tracking 0-1°F below the April climatological normal of 59°F, following a cooldown after March's record warmth. Forecast models from NOAA had converged on this outcome pre-event, with minimal divergence. Post-observation, only a rare data correction or station malfunction could challenge resolution, as quality-controlled records from federal agencies like NOAA affirm the reading's reliability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in NYC on April 10?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 10?
58-59°F 100.0%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$196,013 Объем
$196,013 Объем
10 апр. 2026 г.
58-59°F
100%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74°F or higher
<1%
58-59°F 100.0%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$196,013 Объем
$196,013 Объем
10 апр. 2026 г.
58-59°F
$31,032 Объем
100%
60-61°F
$24,061 Объем
<1%
62-63°F
$18,935 Объем
<1%
64-65°F
$22,628 Объем
<1%
66-67°F
$15,500 Объем
<1%
68-69°F
$15,427 Объем
<1%
70-71°F
$11,959 Объем
<1%
72-73°F
$7,223 Объем
<1%
74°F or higher
$5,216 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 58-59°F at 100% implied probability for New York City's highest temperature on April 10, 2026, driven by official observational data from the LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) station via Weather Underground, which recorded a daily maximum in that range from automated ASOS measurements. This aligns with National Weather Service summaries indicating mild, overcast conditions with light southerly winds and temperatures tracking 0-1°F below the April climatological normal of 59°F, following a cooldown after March's record warmth. Forecast models from NOAA had converged on this outcome pre-event, with minimal divergence. Post-observation, only a rare data correction or station malfunction could challenge resolution, as quality-controlled records from federal agencies like NOAA affirm the reading's reliability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 6, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Объем
$196,013Дата окончания
10 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 6, 2026, 12:09 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Yes
Окно спора
Окончательный
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 58-59°F at 100% implied probability for New York City's highest temperature on April 10, 2026, driven by official observational data from the LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) station via Weather Underground, which recorded a daily maximum in that range from automated ASOS measurements. This aligns with National Weather Service summaries indicating mild, overcast conditions with light southerly winds and temperatures tracking 0-1°F below the April climatological normal of 59°F, following a cooldown after March's record warmth. Forecast models from NOAA had converged on this outcome pre-event, with minimal divergence. Post-observation, only a rare data correction or station malfunction could challenge resolution, as quality-controlled records from federal agencies like NOAA affirm the reading's reliability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$196,013Дата окончания
10 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 6, 2026, 12:09 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Yes
Окно спора
Окончательный
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 58-59°F at 100% implied probability for New York City's highest temperature on April 10, 2026, driven by official observational data from the LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) station via Weather Underground, which recorded a daily maximum in that range from automated ASOS measurements. This aligns with National Weather Service summaries indicating mild, overcast conditions with light southerly winds and temperatures tracking 0-1°F below the April climatological normal of 59°F, following a cooldown after March's record warmth. Forecast models from NOAA had converged on this outcome pre-event, with minimal divergence. Post-observation, only a rare data correction or station malfunction could challenge resolution, as quality-controlled records from federal agencies like NOAA affirm the reading's reliability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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