Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Lagos's highest temperature today, with models implying 34–36°C peaks at 43.5%, 34.5%, and 33.5% probabilities amid NiMet's 2026 seasonal outlook for above-normal daytime highs nationwide during the dry-to-rainy transition. Morning observations near 28–30°C under partly cloudy skies enable intense solar heating, potentially driving afternoon maxima via clear-sky insolation, but coastal sea breezes and emerging cumulus clouds introduce variability—favoring 34°C moderation versus 36°C under stronger subtropical ridging. Historical April averages hover at 32°C, recently surpassed by 1–2°C anomalies; NiMet bulletins and airport station telemetry will clarify the exact peak before daily resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Лагосе 11 апреля?
Самая высокая температура в Лагосе 11 апреля?
34°C 40%
33°C 39%
36°C 33.5%
32°C 22%
27°C или ниже
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
3%
32°C
22%
33°C
23%
34°C
44%
35°C
35%
36°C
33%
37°C или выше
1%
34°C 40%
33°C 39%
36°C 33.5%
32°C 22%
27°C или ниже
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
3%
32°C
22%
33°C
23%
34°C
44%
35°C
35%
36°C
33%
37°C или выше
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 9, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Lagos's highest temperature today, with models implying 34–36°C peaks at 43.5%, 34.5%, and 33.5% probabilities amid NiMet's 2026 seasonal outlook for above-normal daytime highs nationwide during the dry-to-rainy transition. Morning observations near 28–30°C under partly cloudy skies enable intense solar heating, potentially driving afternoon maxima via clear-sky insolation, but coastal sea breezes and emerging cumulus clouds introduce variability—favoring 34°C moderation versus 36°C under stronger subtropical ridging. Historical April averages hover at 32°C, recently surpassed by 1–2°C anomalies; NiMet bulletins and airport station telemetry will clarify the exact peak before daily resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы