Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects China Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecasts projecting Chongqing's highest temperature on April 13 at 20-22°C, driven by persistent cloud cover and slight rain showers from an approaching low-pressure system that has cooled the region after warmer days earlier in the week (27-29°C highs on April 9-10). Ensemble weather models show tight clustering around these values due to high humidity suppressing daytime heating, with urban heat island effects at Jiangbei International Airport—the market's resolution site—potentially nudging toward 21-22°C if partial clearing occurs midday. Key differentiators include timing of precipitation and wind shear; minor model divergences create the 20°C (20%) vs. 22°C (24%) split. Updated CMA bulletins expected April 12 could refine this uncertainty before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Chongqing on April 13?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 13?
21°C 29%
22°C 21%
20°C 18%
19°C 11%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
4%
19°C
11%
20°C
18%
21°C
29%
22°C
20%
23°C
7%
24°C or higher
3%
21°C 29%
22°C 21%
20°C 18%
19°C 11%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
4%
19°C
11%
20°C
18%
21°C
29%
22°C
20%
23°C
7%
24°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 9, 2026, 12:35 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects China Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecasts projecting Chongqing's highest temperature on April 13 at 20-22°C, driven by persistent cloud cover and slight rain showers from an approaching low-pressure system that has cooled the region after warmer days earlier in the week (27-29°C highs on April 9-10). Ensemble weather models show tight clustering around these values due to high humidity suppressing daytime heating, with urban heat island effects at Jiangbei International Airport—the market's resolution site—potentially nudging toward 21-22°C if partial clearing occurs midday. Key differentiators include timing of precipitation and wind shear; minor model divergences create the 20°C (20%) vs. 22°C (24%) split. Updated CMA bulletins expected April 12 could refine this uncertainty before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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