Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 19–20°C as the highest temperature in Wellington on April 13, reflecting MetService's latest extended forecasts showing daytime highs near 19°C amid mild northerly winds following Cyclone Vaianu's recent impacts on the North Island. This mild spell, with recent highs reaching 22°C in Wellington suburbs like Churton Park on April 11, contrasts with April's climatological average of 16–18°C, driven by neutral ENSO conditions favoring typical autumn variability rather than cooler southerlies. Key differentiators include forecast model disagreements on cloud cover and peak afternoon heating, with light showers possible; traders await MetService's daily updates by April 12 for refined guidance on exact maxima at official stations like Wellington Airport.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Wellington on April 13?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 13?
20°C 35%
19°C 30%
18°C 21%
21°C 8.6%
$10,804 Объем
$10,804 Объем
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
6%
18°C
21%
19°C
30%
20°C
35%
21°C
9%
22°C or higher
5%
20°C 35%
19°C 30%
18°C 21%
21°C 8.6%
$10,804 Объем
$10,804 Объем
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
6%
18°C
21%
19°C
30%
20°C
35%
21°C
9%
22°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 9, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 19–20°C as the highest temperature in Wellington on April 13, reflecting MetService's latest extended forecasts showing daytime highs near 19°C amid mild northerly winds following Cyclone Vaianu's recent impacts on the North Island. This mild spell, with recent highs reaching 22°C in Wellington suburbs like Churton Park on April 11, contrasts with April's climatological average of 16–18°C, driven by neutral ENSO conditions favoring typical autumn variability rather than cooler southerlies. Key differentiators include forecast model disagreements on cloud cover and peak afternoon heating, with light showers possible; traders await MetService's daily updates by April 12 for refined guidance on exact maxima at official stations like Wellington Airport.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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