National Weather Service forecasts for Austin, Texas, project a high temperature near 82°F on April 11, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with southerly winds and humid conditions fueling the market's 100% implied probability on 66°F or higher at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport. This trader consensus reflects strong model agreement across NOAA ensembles, including GFS and ECMWF runs, showing rapid diurnal warming from overnight lows in the mid-60s amid a persistent upper-level ridge. Current observations already exceed 69°F midday, aligning with climatological April averages around 79°F. Realistic challenges would require an unforecasted cold frontal passage or persistent overcast skies suppressing insolation, though guidance shows low likelihood; monitor NWS updates through afternoon peak heating for final confirmation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Austin on April 11?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 11?
66°F or higher 100.0%
47°F or below <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$120,716 Объем
$120,716 Объем
11 апр. 2026 г.
47°F or below
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66°F or higher
100%
66°F or higher 100.0%
47°F or below <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$120,716 Объем
$120,716 Объем
11 апр. 2026 г.
47°F or below
$9,123 Объем
<1%
48-49°F
$1,933 Объем
<1%
50-51°F
$1,929 Объем
<1%
52-53°F
$1,775 Объем
<1%
54-55°F
$803 Объем
<1%
56-57°F
$1,781 Объем
<1%
58-59°F
$1,731 Объем
<1%
60-61°F
$2,767 Объем
<1%
62-63°F
$5,013 Объем
<1%
64-65°F
$4,734 Объем
<1%
66°F or higher
$89,128 Объем
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Austin, Texas, project a high temperature near 82°F on April 11, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with southerly winds and humid conditions fueling the market's 100% implied probability on 66°F or higher at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport. This trader consensus reflects strong model agreement across NOAA ensembles, including GFS and ECMWF runs, showing rapid diurnal warming from overnight lows in the mid-60s amid a persistent upper-level ridge. Current observations already exceed 69°F midday, aligning with climatological April averages around 79°F. Realistic challenges would require an unforecasted cold frontal passage or persistent overcast skies suppressing insolation, though guidance shows low likelihood; monitor NWS updates through afternoon peak heating for final confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 7, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
Объем
$120,716Дата окончания
11 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 7, 2026, 12:26 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Austin, Texas, project a high temperature near 82°F on April 11, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with southerly winds and humid conditions fueling the market's 100% implied probability on 66°F or higher at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport. This trader consensus reflects strong model agreement across NOAA ensembles, including GFS and ECMWF runs, showing rapid diurnal warming from overnight lows in the mid-60s amid a persistent upper-level ridge. Current observations already exceed 69°F midday, aligning with climatological April averages around 79°F. Realistic challenges would require an unforecasted cold frontal passage or persistent overcast skies suppressing insolation, though guidance shows low likelihood; monitor NWS updates through afternoon peak heating for final confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$120,716Дата окончания
11 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 7, 2026, 12:26 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Austin, Texas, project a high temperature near 82°F on April 11, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with southerly winds and humid conditions fueling the market's 100% implied probability on 66°F or higher at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport. This trader consensus reflects strong model agreement across NOAA ensembles, including GFS and ECMWF runs, showing rapid diurnal warming from overnight lows in the mid-60s amid a persistent upper-level ridge. Current observations already exceed 69°F midday, aligning with climatological April averages around 79°F. Realistic challenges would require an unforecasted cold frontal passage or persistent overcast skies suppressing insolation, though guidance shows low likelihood; monitor NWS updates through afternoon peak heating for final confirmation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы