National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 82°F in Austin on April 12, anchoring the 73% market-implied probability for 76°F or higher amid Central Texas's warmer-than-normal spring temperature outlook from NOAA seasonal models. Upper-level ridging supports peak afternoon heating, with light southerly winds and ample sunshine early in the day boosting potential. However, a 30-50% chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon—tied to a Level 2 of 5 severe weather risk—could cap temperatures via cloud cover and convective activity, explaining trader allocations to 74-75°F (13%). Model consensus shows minor spread, with GFS slightly warmer; watch overnight forecast updates from NWS Austin/San Antonio for refinements ahead of resolution based on official observations at Austin-Bergstrom.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Austin on April 12?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 12?
76°F or higher 75%
74-75°F 14%
72-73°F 3.7%
70-71°F 1.3%
$13,814 Объем
$13,814 Объем
57°F or below
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
14%
76°F or higher
75%
76°F or higher 75%
74-75°F 14%
72-73°F 3.7%
70-71°F 1.3%
$13,814 Объем
$13,814 Объем
57°F or below
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
14%
76°F or higher
75%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 8, 2026, 12:37 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 82°F in Austin on April 12, anchoring the 73% market-implied probability for 76°F or higher amid Central Texas's warmer-than-normal spring temperature outlook from NOAA seasonal models. Upper-level ridging supports peak afternoon heating, with light southerly winds and ample sunshine early in the day boosting potential. However, a 30-50% chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon—tied to a Level 2 of 5 severe weather risk—could cap temperatures via cloud cover and convective activity, explaining trader allocations to 74-75°F (13%). Model consensus shows minor spread, with GFS slightly warmer; watch overnight forecast updates from NWS Austin/San Antonio for refinements ahead of resolution based on official observations at Austin-Bergstrom.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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