Latest National Weather Service guidance for Austin projects a high near 79°F on April 13 amid partly cloudy skies, patchy fog, and scattered severe thunderstorms with risks of large hail, damaging winds, and isolated tornadoes, driven by Gulf moisture and daytime instability. However, trader consensus tilts toward 84°F or higher (58.5% implied probability), reflecting uncertainty in storm coverage—ensemble models suggest lighter precipitation allowing southerly winds to advect warmer air, potentially yielding upper 80s if clouds thin post-morning convection. Mid-April climatological normals hover at 79°F, but recent above-normal trends and ridge-building aloft support the market's upside bias. Watch overnight 00Z GFS/ECMWF runs and morning soundings for shifts ahead of resolution via official Camp Mabry observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Austin on April 13?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 13?
84°F or higher 62%
82-83°F 26%
80-81°F 10%
78-79°F 2.8%
$18,983 Объем
$18,983 Объем
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
10%
82-83°F
26%
84°F or higher
62%
84°F or higher 62%
82-83°F 26%
80-81°F 10%
78-79°F 2.8%
$18,983 Объем
$18,983 Объем
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
10%
82-83°F
26%
84°F or higher
62%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 9, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service guidance for Austin projects a high near 79°F on April 13 amid partly cloudy skies, patchy fog, and scattered severe thunderstorms with risks of large hail, damaging winds, and isolated tornadoes, driven by Gulf moisture and daytime instability. However, trader consensus tilts toward 84°F or higher (58.5% implied probability), reflecting uncertainty in storm coverage—ensemble models suggest lighter precipitation allowing southerly winds to advect warmer air, potentially yielding upper 80s if clouds thin post-morning convection. Mid-April climatological normals hover at 79°F, but recent above-normal trends and ridge-building aloft support the market's upside bias. Watch overnight 00Z GFS/ECMWF runs and morning soundings for shifts ahead of resolution via official Camp Mabry observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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