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Highest temperature in Austin on April 13?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Austin on April 13?

апр. 12

апр. 13

апр. 12

апр. 13

84°F or higher 62%

82-83°F 26%

80-81°F 10%

78-79°F 2.8%

Polymarket

$18,983 Объем

84°F or higher 62%

82-83°F 26%

80-81°F 10%

78-79°F 2.8%

Polymarket

$18,983 Объем

65°F or below

$700 Объем

<1%

66-67°F

$414 Объем

<1%

68-69°F

$4,303 Объем

<1%

70-71°F

$1,940 Объем

1%

72-73°F

$4,140 Объем

<1%

74-75°F

$2,709 Объем

1%

76-77°F

$993 Объем

2%

78-79°F

$1,006 Объем

3%

80-81°F

$945 Объем

10%

82-83°F

$843 Объем

26%

84°F or higher

$996 Объем

62%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance for Austin projects a high near 79°F on April 13 amid partly cloudy skies, patchy fog, and scattered severe thunderstorms with risks of large hail, damaging winds, and isolated tornadoes, driven by Gulf moisture and daytime instability. However, trader consensus tilts toward 84°F or higher (58.5% implied probability), reflecting uncertainty in storm coverage—ensemble models suggest lighter precipitation allowing southerly winds to advect warmer air, potentially yielding upper 80s if clouds thin post-morning convection. Mid-April climatological normals hover at 79°F, but recent above-normal trends and ridge-building aloft support the market's upside bias. Watch overnight 00Z GFS/ECMWF runs and morning soundings for shifts ahead of resolution via official Camp Mabry observations.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$18,983
Дата окончания
13 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 9, 2026, 12:21 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance for Austin projects a high near 79°F on April 13 amid partly cloudy skies, patchy fog, and scattered severe thunderstorms with risks of large hail, damaging winds, and isolated tornadoes, driven by Gulf moisture and daytime instability. However, trader consensus tilts toward 84°F or higher (58.5% implied probability), reflecting uncertainty in storm coverage—ensemble models suggest lighter precipitation allowing southerly winds to advect warmer air, potentially yielding upper 80s if clouds thin post-morning convection. Mid-April climatological normals hover at 79°F, but recent above-normal trends and ridge-building aloft support the market's upside bias. Watch overnight 00Z GFS/ECMWF runs and morning soundings for shifts ahead of resolution via official Camp Mabry observations.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$18,983
Дата окончания
13 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 9, 2026, 12:21 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Highest temperature in Austin on April 13?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «84°F or higher» с 62%, за ним следует «82-83°F» с 26%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 62¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 62%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Highest temperature in Austin on April 13?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $19K с момента запуска рынка Apr 9, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Highest temperature in Austin on April 13?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Highest temperature in Austin on April 13?» — «84°F or higher» с 62%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 62%. Следующий ближайший исход — «82-83°F» с 26%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Highest temperature in Austin on April 13?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.