Latest AEMET forecasts and ECMWF/GFS model consensus position trader-implied probabilities highest for Madrid's maximum temperature at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport falling in the 14-16°C range on April 12, reflecting an abrupt shift from recent warm highs near 28°C on April 10 and 20°C yesterday. An incoming Atlantic cold front ushers cooler northerly airflow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers, limiting solar heating and capping peaks below climatological April averages around 18°C. This genuine uncertainty—evident in the tight 35.5% for 14°C, 25% for 15°C, and 23.5% for 16°C—stems from model spread on frontal timing and precipitation intensity. Watch AEMET's evening update and initial hourly observations for potential refinements.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Madrid on April 12?
Highest temperature in Madrid on April 12?
14°C 38%
15°C 25%
16°C 22%
13°C 10.4%
$26,047 Объем
$26,047 Объем
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
10%
14°C
38%
15°C
25%
16°C
22%
17°C
7%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
14°C 38%
15°C 25%
16°C 22%
13°C 10.4%
$26,047 Объем
$26,047 Объем
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
10%
14°C
38%
15°C
25%
16°C
22%
17°C
7%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 8, 2026, 12:37 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest AEMET forecasts and ECMWF/GFS model consensus position trader-implied probabilities highest for Madrid's maximum temperature at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport falling in the 14-16°C range on April 12, reflecting an abrupt shift from recent warm highs near 28°C on April 10 and 20°C yesterday. An incoming Atlantic cold front ushers cooler northerly airflow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers, limiting solar heating and capping peaks below climatological April averages around 18°C. This genuine uncertainty—evident in the tight 35.5% for 14°C, 25% for 15°C, and 23.5% for 16°C—stems from model spread on frontal timing and precipitation intensity. Watch AEMET's evening update and initial hourly observations for potential refinements.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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