Météo France's latest forecast projects a maximum temperature of 17°C for Paris on April 11, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light drizzle and moderate winds, driving the overwhelming trader consensus (99.4% implied probability) for "18°C or below." This aligns with ensemble model outputs showing limited solar heating due to persistent cloud cover and cool air masses from the north, consistent with April climatological averages of 14–16°C highs at Paris-Montsouris station. Historical data indicates rare spikes above 18°C this early in spring without prolonged sunshine. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing in the afternoon, boosting insolation to push readings higher at official measurement sites, though current observations through midday remain well below 15°C. Final data releases expected by evening.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Paris on April 11?
Highest temperature in Paris on April 11?
18°C or below 99.3%
21°C <1%
24°C <1%
19°C <1%
$170,237 Объем
$170,237 Объем
18°C or below
99%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
18°C or below 99.3%
21°C <1%
24°C <1%
19°C <1%
$170,237 Объем
$170,237 Объем
18°C or below
99%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 7, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Météo France's latest forecast projects a maximum temperature of 17°C for Paris on April 11, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light drizzle and moderate winds, driving the overwhelming trader consensus (99.4% implied probability) for "18°C or below." This aligns with ensemble model outputs showing limited solar heating due to persistent cloud cover and cool air masses from the north, consistent with April climatological averages of 14–16°C highs at Paris-Montsouris station. Historical data indicates rare spikes above 18°C this early in spring without prolonged sunshine. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing in the afternoon, boosting insolation to push readings higher at official measurement sites, though current observations through midday remain well below 15°C. Final data releases expected by evening.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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