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Самая высокая температура в Париже 12 апреля?

Market icon

Самая высокая температура в Париже 12 апреля?

14°C 44%

15°C 37%

16°C 14%

13°C 8%

Polymarket

$40,751 Объем

14°C 44%

15°C 37%

16°C 14%

13°C 8%

Polymarket

$40,751 Объем

8°C или ниже

$2,636 Объем

<1%

9°C

$1,216 Объем

<1%

10°C

$1,054 Объем

<1%

11°C

$4,432 Объем

<1%

12°C

$3,236 Объем

1%

13°C

$5,779 Объем

8%

14°C

$4,132 Объем

44%

15°C

$3,149 Объем

37%

16°C

$3,011 Объем

14%

17°C

$3,101 Объем

2%

18°C или выше

$9,292 Объем

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts center Paris's April 12 high temperature at 14–15°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds, explaining the razor-thin trader consensus split between these outcomes at 39% and 36.5%. This positioning reflects a stable mid-level ridge ushering mild Atlantic air masses, tempered by stratiform clouds from overnight moisture that could cap peak afternoon heating at 14°C or allow slight clearing for 15–16°C. Model spreads highlight uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and insolation, with GFS slightly warmer than ECMWF. April climatological highs average 15°C near Paris-Montsouris station; traders eye the 12Z model refresh and evening bulletins for tipping evidence ahead of resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$40,751
Дата окончания
12 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts center Paris's April 12 high temperature at 14–15°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds, explaining the razor-thin trader consensus split between these outcomes at 39% and 36.5%. This positioning reflects a stable mid-level ridge ushering mild Atlantic air masses, tempered by stratiform clouds from overnight moisture that could cap peak afternoon heating at 14°C or allow slight clearing for 15–16°C. Model spreads highlight uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and insolation, with GFS slightly warmer than ECMWF. April climatological highs average 15°C near Paris-Montsouris station; traders eye the 12Z model refresh and evening bulletins for tipping evidence ahead of resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$40,751
Дата окончания
12 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Самая высокая температура в Париже 12 апреля?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «14°C» с 44%, за ним следует «15°C» с 37%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 44¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 44%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Самая высокая температура в Париже 12 апреля?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $40.8K с момента запуска рынка Apr 8, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Самая высокая температура в Париже 12 апреля?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Самая высокая температура в Париже 12 апреля?» — «14°C» с 44%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 44%. Следующий ближайший исход — «15°C» с 37%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Самая высокая температура в Париже 12 апреля?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.