Latest Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts center Paris's April 12 high temperature at 14–15°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds, explaining the razor-thin trader consensus split between these outcomes at 39% and 36.5%. This positioning reflects a stable mid-level ridge ushering mild Atlantic air masses, tempered by stratiform clouds from overnight moisture that could cap peak afternoon heating at 14°C or allow slight clearing for 15–16°C. Model spreads highlight uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and insolation, with GFS slightly warmer than ECMWF. April climatological highs average 15°C near Paris-Montsouris station; traders eye the 12Z model refresh and evening bulletins for tipping evidence ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Париже 12 апреля?
Самая высокая температура в Париже 12 апреля?
14°C 44%
15°C 37%
16°C 14%
13°C 8%
$40,751 Объем
$40,751 Объем
8°C или ниже
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
8%
14°C
44%
15°C
37%
16°C
14%
17°C
2%
18°C или выше
1%
14°C 44%
15°C 37%
16°C 14%
13°C 8%
$40,751 Объем
$40,751 Объем
8°C или ниже
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
8%
14°C
44%
15°C
37%
16°C
14%
17°C
2%
18°C или выше
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts center Paris's April 12 high temperature at 14–15°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds, explaining the razor-thin trader consensus split between these outcomes at 39% and 36.5%. This positioning reflects a stable mid-level ridge ushering mild Atlantic air masses, tempered by stratiform clouds from overnight moisture that could cap peak afternoon heating at 14°C or allow slight clearing for 15–16°C. Model spreads highlight uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and insolation, with GFS slightly warmer than ECMWF. April climatological highs average 15°C near Paris-Montsouris station; traders eye the 12Z model refresh and evening bulletins for tipping evidence ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы