Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a highest temperature of 14°C at 30% implied probability for Paris on April 13, closely trailed by 15°C (24%) and 13°C (22%), reflecting tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF ensembles amid a transitioning weather pattern. Following an unusually warm spell with highs near 24–26°C through April 12, latest model runs indicate a cooler air mass influenced by partial cloud cover, light northerly winds, and potential early-week perturbations over eastern France, capping insolation and favoring mid-teens Celsius. Key differentiators include cloud amount and shower timing, with historical mid-April averages around 15–16°C providing baseline context; updated guidance from Météo-France expected every 12 hours could shift the balance before resolution at official Paris-Montsouris observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Paris on April 13?
Highest temperature in Paris on April 13?
14°C 31%
15°C 23%
13°C 22%
16°C 12%
$16,551 Объем
$16,551 Объем
10°C or below
1%
11°C
2%
12°C
11%
13°C
22%
14°C
31%
15°C
23%
16°C
12%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
14°C 31%
15°C 23%
13°C 22%
16°C 12%
$16,551 Объем
$16,551 Объем
10°C or below
1%
11°C
2%
12°C
11%
13°C
22%
14°C
31%
15°C
23%
16°C
12%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a highest temperature of 14°C at 30% implied probability for Paris on April 13, closely trailed by 15°C (24%) and 13°C (22%), reflecting tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF ensembles amid a transitioning weather pattern. Following an unusually warm spell with highs near 24–26°C through April 12, latest model runs indicate a cooler air mass influenced by partial cloud cover, light northerly winds, and potential early-week perturbations over eastern France, capping insolation and favoring mid-teens Celsius. Key differentiators include cloud amount and shower timing, with historical mid-April averages around 15–16°C providing baseline context; updated guidance from Météo-France expected every 12 hours could shift the balance before resolution at official Paris-Montsouris observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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