Market icon

Highest temperature in Paris on April 13?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Paris on April 13?

14°C 31%

15°C 23%

13°C 22%

16°C 12%

Polymarket

$16,551 Объем

14°C 31%

15°C 23%

13°C 22%

16°C 12%

Polymarket

$16,551 Объем

10°C or below

$2,515 Объем

1%

11°C

$1,660 Объем

2%

12°C

$1,592 Объем

11%

13°C

$1,547 Объем

22%

14°C

$1,388 Объем

31%

15°C

$1,169 Объем

23%

16°C

$1,537 Объем

12%

17°C

$1,187 Объем

2%

18°C

$1,172 Объем

1%

19°C

$1,093 Объем

<1%

20°C or higher

$1,690 Объем

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a highest temperature of 14°C at 30% implied probability for Paris on April 13, closely trailed by 15°C (24%) and 13°C (22%), reflecting tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF ensembles amid a transitioning weather pattern. Following an unusually warm spell with highs near 24–26°C through April 12, latest model runs indicate a cooler air mass influenced by partial cloud cover, light northerly winds, and potential early-week perturbations over eastern France, capping insolation and favoring mid-teens Celsius. Key differentiators include cloud amount and shower timing, with historical mid-April averages around 15–16°C providing baseline context; updated guidance from Météo-France expected every 12 hours could shift the balance before resolution at official Paris-Montsouris observations.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$16,551
Дата окончания
13 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a highest temperature of 14°C at 30% implied probability for Paris on April 13, closely trailed by 15°C (24%) and 13°C (22%), reflecting tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF ensembles amid a transitioning weather pattern. Following an unusually warm spell with highs near 24–26°C through April 12, latest model runs indicate a cooler air mass influenced by partial cloud cover, light northerly winds, and potential early-week perturbations over eastern France, capping insolation and favoring mid-teens Celsius. Key differentiators include cloud amount and shower timing, with historical mid-April averages around 15–16°C providing baseline context; updated guidance from Météo-France expected every 12 hours could shift the balance before resolution at official Paris-Montsouris observations.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$16,551
Дата окончания
13 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Highest temperature in Paris on April 13?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «14°C» с 31%, за ним следует «13°C» с 23%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 31¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 31%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Highest temperature in Paris on April 13?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $16.6K с момента запуска рынка Apr 9, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Highest temperature in Paris on April 13?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Highest temperature in Paris on April 13?» — «14°C» с 31%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 31%. Следующий ближайший исход — «13°C» с 23%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Highest temperature in Paris on April 13?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.