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Самая высокая температура в Кейптауне 13 апреля?

Market icon

Самая высокая температура в Кейптауне 13 апреля?

29°C 21%

26°C 18%

28°C 17%

27°C 16%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

29°C 21%

26°C 18%

28°C 17%

27°C 16%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

20°C или ниже

$197 Объем

<1%

21°C

$60 Объем

1%

22°C

$15 Объем

12%

23°C

$0 Объем

12%

24°C

$0 Объем

15%

25°C

$0 Объем

12%

26°C

$0 Объем

18%

27°C

$2 Объем

16%

28°C

$4 Объем

17%

29°C

$2 Объем

21%

30°C или выше

$145 Объем

2%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF ensembles accessed via AccuWeather, show divergent guidance for Cape Town's highest temperature on April 13, with AccuWeather projecting around 27°C under mostly sunny skies and low precipitation risk (5%), while some runs imply upside potential toward 30°C or higher amid a developing upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and dry warming. The South African Weather Service (SAWS) extended outlook describes partly cloudy conditions, cool to warm with isolated showers, introducing uncertainty from possible cloud cover or southerly sea breezes that could cap peaks near 21–22°C. Trader consensus reflects this spread, as berg wind-like föhn effects from the Cape Fold Mountains have historically spiked autumn highs above climatological norms (23°C average), but model disagreements on ridge strength and wind shear keep probabilities tightly clustered. New SAWS advisories and model updates expected April 12 will likely refine odds.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$425
Дата окончания
13 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 11, 2026, 12:09 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF ensembles accessed via AccuWeather, show divergent guidance for Cape Town's highest temperature on April 13, with AccuWeather projecting around 27°C under mostly sunny skies and low precipitation risk (5%), while some runs imply upside potential toward 30°C or higher amid a developing upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and dry warming. The South African Weather Service (SAWS) extended outlook describes partly cloudy conditions, cool to warm with isolated showers, introducing uncertainty from possible cloud cover or southerly sea breezes that could cap peaks near 21–22°C. Trader consensus reflects this spread, as berg wind-like föhn effects from the Cape Fold Mountains have historically spiked autumn highs above climatological norms (23°C average), but model disagreements on ridge strength and wind shear keep probabilities tightly clustered. New SAWS advisories and model updates expected April 12 will likely refine odds.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$425
Дата окончания
13 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 11, 2026, 12:09 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Самая высокая температура в Кейптауне 13 апреля?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «29°C» с 21%, за ним следует «26°C» с 18%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 21¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 21%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Самая высокая температура в Кейптауне 13 апреля?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Apr 11, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Самая высокая температура в Кейптауне 13 апреля?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Самая высокая температура в Кейптауне 13 апреля?» — «29°C» с 21%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 21%. Следующий ближайший исход — «26°C» с 18%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Самая высокая температура в Кейптауне 13 апреля?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.