Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast, updated April 11 evening, projects Tokyo's highest temperature on April 12 at 23°C under mostly clear skies with 0% precipitation probability and light winds, yet trader consensus on Polymarket implies just 38% odds for 21°C—edging out 20°C (28.5%) and 22°C (25.5%)—reflecting caution amid model discrepancies and recent trends. Prior days saw highs fluctuating around 19–23°C with variable cloudiness, while northerly breezes and lingering spring cool fronts could cap peaks below guidance; historical mid-April averages hover near 20°C per long-term JMA data. Inherent short-term forecast uncertainty, including divergences between JMA's local MSM model and global ensembles like ECMWF, keeps outcomes tightly contested, with overnight updates potentially shifting sentiment ahead of official station observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Tokyo on April 12?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 12?
21°C 43%
20°C 28%
22°C 23%
19°C 6.4%
$33,824 Объем
$33,824 Объем
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
6%
20°C
28%
21°C
43%
22°C
23%
23°C or higher
4%
21°C 43%
20°C 28%
22°C 23%
19°C 6.4%
$33,824 Объем
$33,824 Объем
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
6%
20°C
28%
21°C
43%
22°C
23%
23°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast, updated April 11 evening, projects Tokyo's highest temperature on April 12 at 23°C under mostly clear skies with 0% precipitation probability and light winds, yet trader consensus on Polymarket implies just 38% odds for 21°C—edging out 20°C (28.5%) and 22°C (25.5%)—reflecting caution amid model discrepancies and recent trends. Prior days saw highs fluctuating around 19–23°C with variable cloudiness, while northerly breezes and lingering spring cool fronts could cap peaks below guidance; historical mid-April averages hover near 20°C per long-term JMA data. Inherent short-term forecast uncertainty, including divergences between JMA's local MSM model and global ensembles like ECMWF, keeps outcomes tightly contested, with overnight updates potentially shifting sentiment ahead of official station observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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