Market icon

Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 12?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 12?

21°C 43%

20°C 28%

22°C 23%

19°C 6.4%

Polymarket

$33,824 Объем

21°C 43%

20°C 28%

22°C 23%

19°C 6.4%

Polymarket

$33,824 Объем

13°C or below

$2,524 Объем

<1%

14°C

$3,799 Объем

<1%

15°C

$2,511 Объем

<1%

16°C

$5,232 Объем

<1%

17°C

$3,009 Объем

<1%

18°C

$3,868 Объем

2%

19°C

$3,271 Объем

6%

20°C

$1,627 Объем

28%

21°C

$2,223 Объем

43%

22°C

$2,241 Объем

23%

23°C or higher

$3,518 Объем

4%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast, updated April 11 evening, projects Tokyo's highest temperature on April 12 at 23°C under mostly clear skies with 0% precipitation probability and light winds, yet trader consensus on Polymarket implies just 38% odds for 21°C—edging out 20°C (28.5%) and 22°C (25.5%)—reflecting caution amid model discrepancies and recent trends. Prior days saw highs fluctuating around 19–23°C with variable cloudiness, while northerly breezes and lingering spring cool fronts could cap peaks below guidance; historical mid-April averages hover near 20°C per long-term JMA data. Inherent short-term forecast uncertainty, including divergences between JMA's local MSM model and global ensembles like ECMWF, keeps outcomes tightly contested, with overnight updates potentially shifting sentiment ahead of official station observations.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$33,824
Дата окончания
12 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast, updated April 11 evening, projects Tokyo's highest temperature on April 12 at 23°C under mostly clear skies with 0% precipitation probability and light winds, yet trader consensus on Polymarket implies just 38% odds for 21°C—edging out 20°C (28.5%) and 22°C (25.5%)—reflecting caution amid model discrepancies and recent trends. Prior days saw highs fluctuating around 19–23°C with variable cloudiness, while northerly breezes and lingering spring cool fronts could cap peaks below guidance; historical mid-April averages hover near 20°C per long-term JMA data. Inherent short-term forecast uncertainty, including divergences between JMA's local MSM model and global ensembles like ECMWF, keeps outcomes tightly contested, with overnight updates potentially shifting sentiment ahead of official station observations.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$33,824
Дата окончания
12 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 12?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «21°C» с 43%, за ним следует «20°C» с 28%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 43¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 43%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 12?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $33.8K с момента запуска рынка Apr 8, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 12?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 12?» — «21°C» с 43%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 43%. Следующий ближайший исход — «20°C» с 28%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 12?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.